 Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | No | $82 | 92¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $58 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?Finance | No | $59 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Politics | No | $58 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Iran leadership change by August 31?Politics | No | $57 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | No | $57 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 Will Mallory Aurichio win Big Brother season 28?Culture | No | $58 | 97¢ | 95¢ | -$1 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | No | $57 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?Politics | No | $56 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
| Will anyone say "Council" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Mentions | Yes | $54 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Basketball (other) | No | $54 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $54 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | No | $57 | 87¢ | 82¢ | -$3 |
| Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?Finance | Yes | $54 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-06 House seat?Politics | No | $54 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $57 | 95¢ | 88¢ | -$4 |
 Will Cigna Group (CI) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $53 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
 Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBA | No | $55 | 92¢ | 87¢ | -$3 |
| Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $55 | 92¢ | 87¢ | -$3 |
 Will ICU Medical (ICUI) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $52 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?Politics | No | $53 | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$2 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $52 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $61 | 76¢ | 63¢ | -$11 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $50 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $53 | 89¢ | 83¢ | -$3 |
 Will Liquid Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?eSports | No | $51 | 86¢ | 82¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 27?Weather | No | $52 | 86¢ | 82¢ | -$2 |
 Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Culture | Yes | $51 | 85¢ | 82¢ | -$2 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $49 | 40¢ | 40¢ | -$0 |
 Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | No | $48 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 27?Weather | No | $50 | 83¢ | 81¢ | -$2 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?Politics | Yes | $49 | 96¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 27?Weather | No | $53 | 89¢ | 80¢ | -$5 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $48 | 81¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
 Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2eSports | No | $50 | 83¢ | 79¢ | -$3 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $49 | 82¢ | 78¢ | -$2 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $52 | 87¢ | 78¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-12 House seat?Politics | No | $46 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
| Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $47 | 78¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
 Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?MLB | No | $47 | 79¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
 Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $47 | 78¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $46 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | No | $45 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Michael Kim win the 2026 3M Open?Golf | No | $44 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $47 | 79¢ | 75¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $63 | 85¢ | 60¢ | -$19 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in July?Finance | No | $43 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $43 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $50 | 84¢ | 73¢ | -$7 |
 GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $44 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
| Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?Tech | No | $48 | 92¢ | 84¢ | -$4 |
 Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $43 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $47 | 78¢ | 72¢ | -$4 |
 Hurupay FDV above $30M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $42 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $43 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $44 | 95¢ | 91¢ | -$2 |
 Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $43 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-07 House seat?Politics | Yes | $43 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $43 | 71¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $44 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
 Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | No | $42 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Politics | No | $45 | 75¢ | 71¢ | -$3 |
 Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?College Football | No | $42 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech | No | $40 | 66¢ | 70¢ | +$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 73¢ | 70¢ | -$2 |
 Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $41 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | No | $46 | 76¢ | 69¢ | -$4 |
 Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLS | No | $41 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?Politics | No | $40 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $40 | 92¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $40 | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?Politics | No | $45 | 84¢ | 76¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?Politics | Yes | $41 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $64 | 81¢ | 51¢ | -$24 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?Weather | No | $51 | 85¢ | 67¢ | -$11 |
 Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $40 | 86¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $43 | 71¢ | 66¢ | -$3 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Crypto | No | $40 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?MLB | No | $40 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in July?Finance | No | $39 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?MLB | No | $47 | 78¢ | 65¢ | -$8 |
 Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?eSports | No | $39 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $40 | 85¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Politics | No | $39 | 83¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
| GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $39 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $39 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $41 | 68¢ | 64¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?Economy | No | $41 | 68¢ | 64¢ | -$2 |
 Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $39 | 77¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $39 | 66¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Economy | No | $39 | 61¢ | 60¢ | -$1 |
 Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $38 | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?Politics | Yes | $42 | 70¢ | 63¢ | -$4 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Politics | No | $38 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $38 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $38 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $37 | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | Yes | $41 | 69¢ | 62¢ | -$4 |
 Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in July?Finance | No | $42 | 94¢ | 82¢ | -$5 |
 Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?Crypto | No | $38 | 94¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C or higher on July 27?$038s ago
Cashed out Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$359s ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 26?$01m ago
Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 27?$41m ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 27?$11m ago