← Whale Watch

0x5139D82046FA5B7f45d729EB814B811A54DB9402-1753430824915

Predicting since Jul 202598 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $22K on Politics markets since Jul 2025.

Right now: $646 riding on Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?.

Biggest hit: +$23K on US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsYes$803.5¢0.4¢-$70
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?PoliticsYesResolved$40020¢0.0¢-$400
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?PoliticsYesResolved$105.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?World CupYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?GolfYesResolved$87.7¢0.0¢-$8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$35342¢0.0¢-$353
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1282.0¢0.0¢-$128
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?World CupYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? PoliticsYesResolved$606.0¢0.0¢-$60
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$364.8¢0.0¢-$36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1101.9¢0.0¢-$110
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?GolfYesResolved$33.4¢0.0¢-$3
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$6036.7¢0.0¢-$603
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?PoliticsYesResolved$2114¢0.0¢-$21
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$40.5¢0.0¢-$4
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$54.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?GolfYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$110.7¢0.0¢-$11
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?World CupYesResolved$3419¢0.0¢-$34
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1545.1¢0.0¢-$154
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?GolfYesResolved$44.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?PoliticsYesResolved$21.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?GolfYesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?PoliticsYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?GolfYesResolved$30.4¢0.0¢-$3
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6464.1¢0.0¢-$646
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$500.1¢0.0¢-$50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$210.2¢0.0¢-$21
Will Brian Harman win the 2026 U.S. Open?GolfYesResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?EconomyNoResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$371.6¢0.0¢-$37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$90.6¢0.0¢-$9
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?GolfYesResolved$191.2¢0.0¢-$19
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 U.S. Open?GolfYesResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to AdvanceWorld CupGhanaResolved$115.5¢0.0¢-$11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$65.8¢0.0¢-$6
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$200.4¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$400.2¢0.0¢-$40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? PoliticsYesResolved$510.2¢0.0¢-$51
Next BLS jobs report by Oct 3, 2025, 8:30 AM ET?PoliticsYesResolved$1737.9¢0.0¢-$173
Spurs vs. KnicksNBAKnicksResolved$2338¢0.0¢-$23
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$150.7¢0.0¢-$15

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$22K
UFC / MMA+$158
World Cup-$35
NBA-$24
Golf+$2
Economy-$1
Biggest hit
+$23K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Toughest beat
-$1.1K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$1851d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$152d ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$52d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?$72d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$732d ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?$1332d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$24d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$104d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$264d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$574d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$204d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$94d ago