← Whale Watch

NOTHINGSEVERFRICKINFAIRONHERE

Predicting since Feb 2026803 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.3K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $844 riding on US x Iran ceasefire by...?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$75.2¢0.0¢-$7
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?PoliticsYesResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
New York Yankees vs. New York MetsMLBNew York YankeesResolved$854¢0.0¢-$8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World CupYesResolved$659¢0.0¢-$6
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
James Comey mugshot released by May 5?PoliticsYesResolved$314¢0.0¢-$3
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White SoxMLBLos Angeles DodgersResolved$361¢0.0¢-$3
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles AngelsMLBHouston AstrosResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?La LigaYesResolved$249¢0.0¢-$2
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1366¢0.0¢-$13
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?La LigaYesResolved$436¢0.0¢-$4
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$610.7¢0.0¢-$61
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$01.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-30?Soccer (other)YesResolved$137¢0.0¢-$1
Milwaukee Brewers vs. AthleticsMLBMilwaukee BrewersResolved$350¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$50.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?Soccer (other)NoResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesMLBNew York YankeesResolved$262¢0.0¢-$2
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12.8¢0.0¢-$1
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump visit China by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10?Soccer (other)YesResolved$09.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09?Soccer (other)YesResolved$656¢0.0¢-$6
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?PoliticsYesResolved$30.9¢0.0¢-$3
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$165.2¢0.0¢-$16
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Colorado Rockies vs. AthleticsMLBAthleticsResolved$365¢0.0¢-$3
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Spurs vs. ThunderNBAThunderResolved$367¢0.0¢-$3
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$30.1¢0.0¢-$3
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$284.1¢0.0¢-$28
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06?Soccer (other)YesResolved$360¢0.0¢-$3
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Spurs vs. KnicksNBASpursResolved$246¢0.0¢-$2
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?PoliticsYesResolved$22.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will XRP reach $2.20 in May?CryptoYesResolved$00.8¢0.0¢-$0
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 10?PoliticsYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?Soccer (other)YesResolved$347¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?PoliticsNoResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?PoliticsYesResolved$40.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Champions LeagueYesResolved$530¢0.0¢-$5
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$140.1¢0.0¢-$14
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$21.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$40.1¢0.0¢-$4
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$300.8¢0.0¢-$30
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?PoliticsYesResolved$40.1¢0.0¢-$4
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$8440.1¢0.0¢-$844
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$13.4¢0.0¢-$1
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$36.2¢0.0¢-$3
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami MarlinsMLBTampa Bay RaysResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado RockiesMLBColorado RockiesResolved$17.3¢0.0¢-$1
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxMLBAtlanta BravesResolved$359¢0.0¢-$3
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$120.1¢0.0¢-$12
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$103.6¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$00.7¢0.0¢-$0
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis CardinalsMLBLos Angeles DodgersResolved$154¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?PoliticsYesResolved$64.2¢0.0¢-$6
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Premier LeagueYesResolved$257¢0.0¢-$2
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$350.8¢0.0¢-$35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?Premier LeagueYesResolved$667¢0.0¢-$6
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will XRP reach $2.60 in May?CryptoYesResolved$00.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Singapore win on 2026-06-05?Soccer (other)YesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?PoliticsYesResolved$499.9¢0.0¢-$49
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?World CupYesResolved$1757¢0.0¢-$17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?Premier LeagueYesResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$50.4¢0.0¢-$5
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$440.5¢0.0¢-$44
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?PoliticsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$2.3K
World Cup-$100
Crypto+$41
MLB+$37
Mentions-$22
Soccer (other)-$21
NBA-$17
Premier League-$15
Champions League+$15
Formula 1-$7
Tennis-$6
Cricket-$6
Biggest hit
+$261
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$807
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Iryna Shymanovich vs Ankita Raina AND Vancouver: Kayla Day vs Mai Hontama AND Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic AND Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Edward Winter AND The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann AND Vancouver: Haruka Kaji vs Taylah Preston AND Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alex Hernandez vs Alan Magadan AND Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-07-26? AND Will CU Técnica de Cajamarca win on 2026-07-26? AND Will Wisla Krakow win on 2026-07-26?$11h ago
  • Bought Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajda AND Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier AND LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season AND Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs AND Will Viking FK win on 2026-07-26? AND Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-07-26?$13h ago
  • Bought Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Andre Ilagan AND Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Play-In AND Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Abedallah Shelbayh AND Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Alex Bolt AND Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage AND Will FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-07-26? AND Will FC København win on 2026-07-26? AND Will HJK Helsinki win on 2026-07-26?$15h ago
  • Bought Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha AND Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockx AND Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs AND Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewitt AND LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season AND Valorant: Team Envy vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha AND LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season AND Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Abedallah Shelbayh AND Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Alex Bolt$15h ago
  • Bought Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group B AND Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Falcons vs Team Falcons PH (BO3) - Mid Season Cup Group A AND LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend AND Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier AND Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs AND LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season AND Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage AND Will GAIS win on 2026-07-26?$18h ago
  • Bought LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend AND Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Play-In AND Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier AND Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In AND Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-07-26? AND Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-26? AND Will FC København win on 2026-07-26? AND Will HJK Helsinki win on 2026-07-26?$18h ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$09h ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$010h ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$012h ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$012h ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$012h ago
  • Bought Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Alan Rubio AND Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Lorenzo Claverie AND Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez AND Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-26? AND Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-07-26? AND Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-07-26? AND Will Phoenix Rising FC win on 2026-07-25? AND Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-26? AND Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-07-26?$115h ago