← Whale Watch

0x524db836890E08ACeB3AbcdEE98D44240E324495-1781873258241

Predicting since Jun 2026150 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $19K on Politics markets since Jun 2026.

Right now: $15K across 5 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$5.8K on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$5.9K53¢88¢+$3.9K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$4.1K75¢100¢+$1.4K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsNo$5.2K47¢27¢-$2.2K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$2.1K71¢99¢+$835
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$1.7K47¢69¢+$747
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.7K70¢56¢-$543
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsYes$876.4¢95¢+$1.2K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$77742¢63¢+$382
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsNo$98655¢52¢-$54
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$79317¢15¢-$118
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$23526¢51¢+$226
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$69324¢7.5¢-$476
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsNo$12642¢50¢+$24
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$13512¢13¢+$7
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?TechNo$13831¢27¢-$21
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$994.7¢5.4¢+$15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$838.0¢8.5¢+$5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$37613¢2.6¢-$298
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$302.0¢2.1¢+$1
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$26026¢1.3¢-$247
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$15940¢2.6¢-$149
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$362¢57¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$1153.0¢0.1¢-$113
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$351.0¢0.0¢-$35
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$353.8¢0.0¢-$35
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1076.0¢0.0¢-$107
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$42042¢0.0¢-$420
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1383.8¢0.0¢-$138
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$77516¢0.0¢-$775
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1383.8¢0.0¢-$138
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$17210¢0.0¢-$172
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$24210¢0.0¢-$242
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1885.8¢0.0¢-$188
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$56811¢0.0¢-$568
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$29315¢0.0¢-$293
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$353.8¢0.0¢-$35
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$251.2¢0.0¢-$25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2406.3¢0.0¢-$240
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3024.0¢0.0¢-$302
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$811¢0.0¢-$8
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2745.1¢0.0¢-$274
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4076.6¢0.0¢-$407
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1383.8¢0.0¢-$138
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$353.8¢0.0¢-$35
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$353.4¢0.0¢-$35
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1121.8¢0.0¢-$112
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$77717¢0.0¢-$777
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1383.8¢0.0¢-$138
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$270.1¢0.0¢-$27
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3204.0¢0.0¢-$320
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$4397.7¢0.0¢-$439
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1175.5¢0.0¢-$117
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$881.9¢0.0¢-$88
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$24210¢0.0¢-$242
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1383.8¢0.0¢-$138
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$271.5¢0.0¢-$27
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$44110¢0.0¢-$441
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5449.2¢0.0¢-$544
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1383.8¢0.0¢-$138
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$71410¢0.0¢-$714
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$49610¢0.0¢-$496
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$353.8¢0.0¢-$35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1383.8¢0.0¢-$138
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$353.8¢0.0¢-$35
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$85130¢0.0¢-$851
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2.3K43¢0.0¢-$2.3K
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4449.4¢0.0¢-$444
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1383.8¢0.0¢-$138
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1527.8¢0.0¢-$152
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1070.5¢0.0¢-$107
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1332.9¢0.0¢-$133
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$44110¢0.0¢-$441
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1383.8¢0.0¢-$138
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1383.8¢0.0¢-$138
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$44110¢0.0¢-$441
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$46820¢0.0¢-$468
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$49610¢0.0¢-$496
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$353.8¢0.0¢-$35
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1383.8¢0.0¢-$138
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$353.8¢0.0¢-$35
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2128.6¢0.0¢-$212
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$71426¢0.0¢-$714
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$360.1¢0.0¢-$36
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$24210¢0.0¢-$242
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$353.8¢0.0¢-$35
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1494.7¢0.0¢-$149
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1383.8¢0.0¢-$138
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2072.7¢0.0¢-$207
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$70.2¢0.0¢-$7
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1543.3¢0.0¢-$154
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$24210¢0.0¢-$242
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K19¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$49610¢0.0¢-$496
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$2.3K41¢0.0¢-$2.3K
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1383.8¢0.0¢-$138
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$92130¢0.0¢-$921
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2967.8¢0.0¢-$296
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$353.8¢0.0¢-$35
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$353.8¢0.0¢-$35
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$720.9¢0.0¢-$72

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$19K
World Cup+$766
Tech-$326
Soccer (other)-$0
Biggest hit
+$5.8K
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$1.1K
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$2853m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$3254m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$255m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$9655m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$655m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$11355m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$8755m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$451h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$2631h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$1574h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$57719h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$1.1K19h ago