Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $44 | 3.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$40 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $7 | 3.9¢ | 1.3¢ | -$5 |
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $25 | 25¢ | 1.1¢ | -$24 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 17¢ | 7.5¢ | -$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?World Cup | YesResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $126 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
Caroline Ellison new boyfriend by January 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $9 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $74 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$74 |
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Tech | YesResolved | $37 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $101 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$101 |
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?Tennis | YesResolved | $2 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-26?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Politics | YesResolved | $168 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$168 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $10 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $46 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $90 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $8 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $27 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $41 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Chirayu Rana divorced?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $19 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Tech | YesResolved | $14 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $91 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?World Cup | YesResolved | $23 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $110 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$110 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?World Cup | YesResolved | $18 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $59 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $28 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will Trump announce Howard Lutnick as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $26 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $63 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
Will England win on 2026-03-31?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $61 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US forces enter Iran by February 28?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $236 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$236 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $108 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$108 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $53 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $68 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $9 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |