 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $38 | 1.9¢ | 2.4¢ | +$9 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $20 | 8.4¢ | 10¢ | +$4 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 25, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be 70 or higher?Culture | YesResolved | $27 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during July Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $20 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Culture | YesResolved | $142 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$142 |
 Jony Ive out at OpenAI before August?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $150 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
 Will Elon tweet 625–649 times August 8–August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 4–11?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 OpenAI browser in July?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before August?Tech | YesResolved | $40 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will OpenAI acquire Chrome before before August?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon tweet 550–574 times August 8–August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Tech | NoResolved | $90 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
 Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $100-108m?Culture | YesResolved | $15 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Trump say "Stargate" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 4–11?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump say "Genocide" this week?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31? Crypto | NoResolved | $40 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $19 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $13m?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Missing Epstein cell footage released before August?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Pump.fun announces public raise sold out on Day One?Crypto | NoResolved | $10 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?Tech | YesResolved | $17 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Grok be the next CEO of X?Tech | YesResolved | $25 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will Trump issue a Gold Card before August?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Tech | NoResolved | $100 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 4–11?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon tweet 270 or more times July 4–11?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Trump say "Fuck" this week?Mentions | YesResolved | $23 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on July 31?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $22 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Solana Up or Down - April 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 4–11?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 26, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 4–11?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Sheryl Sandberg be the next CEO of X?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?Politics | YesResolved | $57 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
 Will Rachel Reeves leave Starner’s cabinet by July 15th?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $9m?Culture | YesResolved | $12 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?Politics | NoResolved | $54 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?Tech | YesResolved | $40 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?Politics | YesResolved | $54 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
| Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?Culture | YesResolved | $55 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?Politics | YesResolved | $29 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
| Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $108-116m?Culture | YesResolved | $15 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 450 times August 8–August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $80 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 4–11?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon tweet 255–269 times July 4–11?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $100m?Culture | YesResolved | $30 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Tom Brady and Sydney Sweeney confirmed relationship before August?Other sports | YesResolved | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon tweet 600–624 times August 8–August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Elon visit the Western Wall before August?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $75 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
 Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?Other sports | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 4–11?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $98 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on July 29?Crypto | UpResolved | $7 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 29, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July?Politics | YesResolved | $80 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
| Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 30?Culture | NoResolved | $10 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $116 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$116 |
| Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 11–18?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump meet with Khamenei before August?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |