← Whale Watch

Blind Chicken

Predicting since Dec 2020870 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $26K on Politics markets since Dec 2020.

Right now: $3.3K across 6 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$14K on Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.4K2.9¢1.1¢-$863
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$9581.9¢1.1¢-$433
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3283.3¢2.4¢-$93
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$1877.5¢4.3¢-$81
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$505.0¢8.5¢+$35
Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?NBAYes$1270.1¢0.1¢-$63
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?NBAYes$6250.6¢0.1¢-$576
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$2929¢27¢-$2
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$1530.3¢0.1¢-$128
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$1020¢20¢-$0
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$171.1¢0.5¢-$8
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$60.5¢0.5¢+$1
Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?PoliticsNo$3514¢2.4¢-$29
Will James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?PoliticsYes$249.0¢1.9¢-$18
Will Chellie Pingree be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$90.1¢0.1¢-$6
Will Jordan Wood be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$351.1¢0.1¢-$32
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?NBAYes$1662.7¢0.1¢-$163
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$118¢85¢+$2
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?NBAYes$110.2¢0.1¢-$8
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?PoliticsYesResolved$1660.2¢0.0¢-$166
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?PoliticsYesResolved$70.1¢0.0¢-$7
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?PoliticsNoResolved$2420¢0.0¢-$24
Will Catherine Connolly win by 0–5%?PoliticsYesResolved$31.4¢0.0¢-$3
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?PoliticsYesResolved$58529¢0.0¢-$585
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$651.3¢0.0¢-$65
Will Michael Blake be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?PoliticsYesResolved$1264.5¢0.0¢-$126
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$7380.1¢0.0¢-$738
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$4910.2¢0.0¢-$491
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K0.3¢0.0¢-$1.6K
US forces enter Iran by March 7?PoliticsYesResolved$740.5¢0.0¢-$74
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$7070.2¢0.0¢-$707
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNoResolved$3243.2¢0.0¢-$324
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$140.7¢0.0¢-$14
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$132.7¢0.0¢-$13
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?PoliticsNoResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$53.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?PoliticsYesResolved$914¢0.0¢-$9
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?PoliticsNoResolved$1224.1¢0.0¢-$122
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?CultureNoResolved$9889.6¢0.0¢-$988
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$864.1¢0.0¢-$86
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$78.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNoResolved$2743.2¢0.0¢-$274
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?PoliticsYesResolved$330¢0.0¢-$3
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$152.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$81.1¢0.0¢-$8
Israeli parliament dissolved before August?PoliticsYesResolved$231.7¢0.0¢-$23
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2210.2¢0.0¢-$221
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$4873.5¢0.0¢-$487
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsNoResolved$95.7¢0.0¢-$9
US forces enter Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3508.2¢0.0¢-$350
Will Karen Bass finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$1000.1¢0.0¢-$100
Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$50.4¢0.0¢-$5
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$195.2¢0.0¢-$19
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNoResolved$2063.5¢0.0¢-$206
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$3980.4¢0.0¢-$398
Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNoResolved$2223.3¢0.0¢-$222
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4870.5¢0.0¢-$487
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 12-15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$42.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$200.2¢0.0¢-$20
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$252.5¢0.0¢-$25
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1261.5¢0.0¢-$126
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 2?CultureYesResolved$2113¢0.0¢-$21
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNoResolved$1793.1¢0.0¢-$179
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$11523¢0.0¢-$115
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?CultureYesResolved$1.2K3.7¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Catherine Connolly win by 5–10%?PoliticsYesResolved$123.0¢0.0¢-$12
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?PoliticsYesResolved$1070.2¢0.0¢-$107
Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$7181.5¢0.0¢-$718
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 2?PoliticsYesResolved$3238.6¢0.0¢-$323
Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$40.7¢0.0¢-$4
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNoResolved$4134.6¢0.0¢-$413
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$450.9¢0.0¢-$45
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$500.1¢0.0¢-$50
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$9330.1¢0.0¢-$933
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2610.5¢0.0¢-$261
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$234.5¢0.0¢-$23
Will 61 or more U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$51.2¢0.0¢-$5
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?PoliticsYesResolved$6041.5¢0.0¢-$604
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6255.2¢0.0¢-$625
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4590.4¢0.0¢-$459
Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$4431.0¢0.0¢-$443
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?PoliticsNoResolved$841.8¢0.0¢-$84
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNoResolved$3893.9¢0.0¢-$389
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$36.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$853.4¢0.0¢-$85
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNoResolved$1303.5¢0.0¢-$130
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$351.0¢0.0¢-$35

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$26K
Other-$11K
Culture-$2.5K
NFL-$2.1K
Crypto-$2.0K
NBA-$810
Finance-$263
World Cup-$236
Tech-$215
Other sports-$206
NHL-$29
Economy-$15
Biggest hit
+$14K
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
Toughest beat
-$8.4K
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$61d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?$12d ago