mangostein

Predicting since Oct 202674 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$41	82¢	74¢	-$4
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Weather	No	$21	41¢	36¢	-$3
Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?Politics	Yes	$19	38¢	33¢	-$3
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Tech	Yes	$17	34¢	33¢	-$1
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Economy	No	$13	64¢	56¢	-$2
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?Politics	No	$12	58¢	46¢	-$2
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Tech	Yes	$6	28¢	41¢	+$3
Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$8	39¢	39¢	-$0
Will Nico Collins have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL	Yes	$13	66¢	36¢	-$6
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech	Yes	$6	14¢	15¢	+$0
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?Politics	Yes	$7	35¢	30¢	-$1
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Culture	Yes	$5	56¢	58¢	+$0
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech	No	$3	77¢	78¢	+$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Elon Musk by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$6	28¢	14¢	-$3
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Politics	No	$3	89¢	89¢	-$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Politics	No	$2	70¢	78¢	+$0
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?Politics	Yes	$2	32¢	33¢	+$0
Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	76¢	54¢	-$1
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Economy	No	$2	80¢	86¢	+$0
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?Weather	Yes	$1	74¢	75¢	+$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Tech	No	$2	33¢	30¢	-$0
Will Netherlands win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?Soccer (other)	No	$1	60¢	61¢	+$0
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?Politics	Yes	$1	36¢	35¢	-$0
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?Politics	Yes	$2	77¢	68¢	-$0
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Tech	No	$1	67¢	66¢	-$0
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Politics	No	$1	81¢	82¢	+$0
Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?eSports	Yes	$1	31¢	28¢	-$0
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026Tech	NoResolved	$0	11¢	0.0¢	-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$114

Politics+$68

eSports-$66

Culture+$38

NFL-$23

Weather+$7

Economy+$5

Soccer (other)+$1

Crypto-$1

Biggest hit

+$50

Will Drake release a new album by December 31?

Toughest beat

-$57

Will Drake release a new album by December 31?

Recent moves

Bought No · Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?$134m ago
Bought Yes · Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?$86m ago
Bought Yes · Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?$71h ago
Bought Yes · Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?$61h ago
Bought Yes · Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?$61h ago
Bought No · Will Donald Trump publicly praise Elon Musk by October 31, 2026?$61h ago
Bought No · Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?$213h ago
Bought No · Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?$33h ago
Bought Yes · Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?$53h ago
Bought Yes · Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?$24h ago
Bought Yes · Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?$174h ago
Bought Yes · Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?$15h ago