← Whale Watch

53asdad

Predicting since Jun 20261,011 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Did a ground support equipment failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?WeatherYes$14.0¢42¢+$7
Did another cause lead to the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?WeatherYes$27.0¢28¢+$5
Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$11.2¢7.7¢+$5
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$536¢45¢+$1
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?TechNoResolved$242¢100¢+$3
Did an engine failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?WeatherYes$19.0¢41¢+$4
Will more than 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?TechYesResolved$02.0¢100¢+$5
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$530¢31¢+$0
Will Micron (MU) close above $920 end of June?FinanceYesResolved$361¢100¢+$2
Will Meta (META) close above $600 end of June?FinanceNoResolved$366¢100¢+$2
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupYesResolved$357¢100¢+$2
World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. KaneWorld CupMbappeResolved$354¢100¢+$2
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$02.3¢41¢+$5
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$130¢100¢+$3
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$361¢100¢+$2
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$235¢100¢+$3
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$479¢92¢+$1
Will Hotstuff launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoNo$454¢57¢+$0
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupYesResolved$250¢100¢+$2
Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$444¢46¢+$0
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?PoliticsYes$53.2¢2.8¢-$1
Will Billie Eilish perform at Coachella 2027?CultureYes$228¢61¢+$2
World Cup Goals H2H: Salah vs. ManeWorld CupSalahResolved$255¢100¢+$2
Will Micron (MU) close above $960 end of June?FinanceYesResolved$237¢100¢+$3
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?CultureYesResolved$240¢100¢+$2
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of June?FinanceYesResolved$261¢100¢+$1
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$358¢73¢+$1
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?TechYesResolved$253¢100¢+$2
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$367¢75¢+$0
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$116¢100¢+$3
Will Donald Trump dance on June 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$126¢100¢+$3
Will Donald Trump dance on June 8, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$143¢100¢+$2
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?EconomyNo$255¢84¢+$1
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the July meeting?EconomyYes$921¢7.4¢-$6
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$131¢100¢+$2
Did a valve or plumbing failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?WeatherYes$16.0¢35¢+$3
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?CultureNo$370¢88¢+$1
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 end of June?FinanceYesResolved$273¢100¢+$1
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechYes$256¢81¢+$1
Will Donald Trump dance on June 19, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$267¢100¢+$1
Will Hurupay launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoNo$251¢67¢+$1
Will Micron (MU) close above $980 end of June?FinanceYesResolved$149¢100¢+$2
Did a valve or plumbing failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?WeatherNo$238¢65¢+$1
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of June?FinanceYesResolved$119¢100¢+$2
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?PoliticsYes$242¢66¢+$1
Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$255¢77¢+$1
Will Chris Rock attend UFC Freedom 250?UFC / MMANoResolved$148¢100¢+$1
NBA Finals: Any Player to Record a Triple-Double?NBANoResolved$260¢100¢+$1
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be greater than $1,244,000 on June 30?EconomyYesResolved$018¢100¢+$2
Will there be 1-2 North Korea tests in June 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$127¢100¢+$2
Will Francisco Lindor win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?MLBYes$00.4¢4.9¢+$2
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$266¢100¢+$1
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of June?FinanceNoResolved$151¢100¢+$1
Will James Wood record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBYes$33.3¢3.0¢-$0
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $132 end of June?FinanceNoResolved$154¢100¢+$1
Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?TechYes$113¢40¢+$2
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?EconomyNo$129¢84¢+$2
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$265¢67¢+$0
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?TechYes$249¢74¢+$1
Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $435,000 on June 30?EconomyYesResolved$150¢100¢+$1
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$22.6¢3.2¢+$0
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $4.00 end of June?FinanceYesResolved$154¢100¢+$1
Will Tori launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoNo$253¢52¢-$0
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of June?FinanceNoResolved$155¢100¢+$1
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,230,000 and $1,244,000 on June 30?EconomyNoResolved$170¢100¢+$1
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?WeatherNoResolved$166¢100¢+$1
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?EconomyYes$156¢79¢+$1
World Cup Goal Contributions H2H: Vitinha vs. PedriWorld CupVitinhaResolved$248¢50¢+$0
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of June?FinanceNoResolved$156¢100¢+$1
Will there be 8+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?MLBYes$06.0¢26¢+$1
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$149¢71¢+$1
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $140 end of June?FinanceNoResolved$173¢100¢+$0
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 end of June?FinanceNoResolved$03.0¢100¢+$2
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027?CryptoYes$146¢56¢+$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?PoliticsNo$170¢75¢+$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?PoliticsYesResolved$140¢100¢+$1
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PoliticsNo$13.9¢5.1¢+$0
Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoYes$239¢32¢-$0
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026?CryptoYes$26.2¢5.1¢-$0
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?TechYesResolved$151¢100¢+$1
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$01.1¢45¢+$1
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $5.00 end of June?FinanceNoResolved$179¢100¢+$0
Will Ritual launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoNo$123¢38¢+$0
Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$11.1¢2.1¢+$1
Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be less than $554,000 on June 30?EconomyYesResolved$024¢100¢+$1
Will Decibel launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoNo$246¢26¢-$1
Will Donald Trump dance on June 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$011¢100¢+$1
Will no cause of the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion be announced by December 31?WeatherYes$07.0¢27¢+$1
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?PoliticsYes$13.9¢4.5¢+$0
Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoNo$136¢38¢+$0
Will the median home value in New York City be between $599,000 and $606,000 on June 30?EconomyNoResolved$174¢100¢+$0
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?PoliticsNo$131¢28¢-$0
World Cup Goal Contributions H2H: Vitinha vs. PedriWorld CupPedriResolved$137¢50¢+$0
Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be less than $481,000 on June 30?EconomyNoResolved$170¢0.0¢-$1
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?EconomyYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump dance on June 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?TechYesResolved$21.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be between $562,000 and $566,000 on June 30?EconomyYesResolved$23.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will Iraq be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? PoliticsYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Finance-$59
Politics-$58
Economy-$50
Crypto-$50
World Cup-$22
NBA-$18
Weather+$18
Tech-$13
eSports-$12
NHL-$10
La Liga-$5
Culture+$4
Biggest hit
+$42
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Toughest beat
-$5
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Josh Weil be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?$01d ago
  • Bought No · Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$02d ago
  • Bought No · Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$02d ago
  • Bought No · Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$02d ago
  • Bought No · Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$02d ago
  • Sold No · Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?$42d ago
  • Bought No · Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$02d ago
  • Sold No · Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$02d ago
  • Sold No · Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$02d ago
  • Sold No · Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$12d ago
  • Bought No · Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$02d ago
  • Bought No · Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$02d ago