← Whale Watch

lightzera

Predicting since Mar 2026136 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$522¢17¢-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$636¢0.0¢-$6
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5MLBOverResolved$340¢0.0¢-$3
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland GuardiansMLBBaltimore OriolesResolved$345¢0.0¢-$3
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?Soccer (other)YesResolved$552¢0.0¢-$5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$1154¢0.0¢-$11
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?PoliticsNoResolved$923¢0.0¢-$9
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5NBAUnderResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$130¢0.0¢-$1
Maple Leafs vs. Senators: O/U 6.5NHLOverResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$159¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$369¢0.0¢-$3
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)NBA76ersResolved$347¢0.0¢-$3
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$13.8¢0.0¢-$1
Magic vs. 76ersNBAMagicResolved$451¢0.0¢-$4
Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?PoliticsYesResolved$139¢0.0¢-$1
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$336¢0.0¢-$3
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Premier LeagueManchester City FCResolved$767¢0.0¢-$7
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?EconomyNoResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnereSportsMOUZResolved$341¢0.0¢-$3
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1021¢0.0¢-$10
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)NBAMagicResolved$356¢0.0¢-$3
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group AscendeSportsNinjas in PyjamasResolved$235¢0.0¢-$2
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Avalanche vs. FlamesNHLFlamesResolved$242¢0.0¢-$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?PoliticsYesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?PoliticsNoResolved$11.7¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$365¢0.0¢-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$225
Champions League+$57
MLB+$18
Culture-$14
Premier League-$10
College Hoops+$6
NHL+$6
eSports+$5
La Liga-$5
World Cup-$5
Soccer (other)-$4
NBA-$2
Biggest hit
+$60
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
Toughest beat
-$148
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$02mo ago
  • Sold No · Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$12mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12mo ago
  • Sold No · Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$12mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$22mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32mo ago