GooseDuckSwan

Predicting since Jan 202537 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.4K on Politics markets since Jan 2025.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$75	75¢	100¢	+$25
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 4?Finance	UpResolved	$5	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$5
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$20	25¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 8?Crypto	YesResolved	$4	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?Politics	NoResolved	$13	5.4¢	0.0¢	-$13
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?Politics	YesResolved	$20	50¢	0.0¢	-$20
Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?Crypto	YesResolved	$6	30¢	0.0¢	-$6
Maduro out in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$40	24¢	0.0¢	-$40
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Politics	YesResolved	$14	28¢	0.0¢	-$14
Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with ≤2 dissents?Politics	YesResolved	$10	24¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Politics	NoResolved	$20	41¢	0.0¢	-$20
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$24	24¢	0.0¢	-$24
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionPolitics	NoResolved	$10	14¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2026?Culture	YesResolved	$83	12¢	0.0¢	-$83
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Politics	YesResolved	$80	17¢	0.0¢	-$80
Netanyahu out by 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$25	12¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$296	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$296
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?Politics	NoResolved	$20	17¢	0.0¢	-$20
Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?Crypto	YesResolved	$17	58¢	0.0¢	-$17

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.4K

Culture-$83

Crypto-$67

Tech-$40

Finance+$3

Biggest hit

+$123

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Toughest beat

-$824

Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$344mo ago
Bought Yes · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$104mo ago
Cashed out Up · S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 11?$154mo ago
Cashed out No · Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$2734mo ago
Bought Yes · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$754mo ago
Bought Yes · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$44mo ago
Bought Up · S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 11?$77mo ago
Bought Up · S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 11?$17mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with ≤2 dissents?$27mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with ≤2 dissents?$77mo ago
Bought Up · Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 4?$37mo ago
Bought Up · Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 4?$17mo ago