← Whale Watch

athrundead

Predicting since Apr 2025175 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved$512¢0.0¢-$5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$204.5¢0.0¢-$20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2019¢0.0¢-$20
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$608.0¢0.0¢-$60
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$42.9¢0.0¢-$4
Transylvania Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Anna BondarTennisBondarResolved$327¢0.0¢-$3
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$50.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$521¢0.0¢-$5
US government shutdown Saturday?PoliticsNoResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$230.8¢0.0¢-$23
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$54.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3015¢0.0¢-$30
US forces enter Iran by March 7?PoliticsYesResolved$21.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$58.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?NFLNoResolved$417¢0.0¢-$4
Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?PoliticsNoResolved$2010.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$721¢0.0¢-$7
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in September?PoliticsYesResolved$368.2¢0.0¢-$36
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?TechYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$50.7¢0.0¢-$5
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$201.8¢0.0¢-$20
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?CultureNoResolved$1019¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4AM ETCryptoUpResolved$55.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?TechYesResolved$325.5¢0.0¢-$32
Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?WeatherYesResolved$1032¢0.0¢-$10
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$140.1¢0.0¢-$14
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$105.0¢0.0¢-$10
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$153.1¢0.0¢-$15
Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$20.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$32.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Iceland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
US forces enter Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3213¢0.0¢-$32
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?CultureNoResolved$1022¢0.0¢-$10
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$147.5¢0.0¢-$14
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$221.0¢0.0¢-$22
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$50.3¢0.0¢-$5
Yoon arrested by July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$94.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$510.0¢0.0¢-$5
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$59.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$21.7¢0.0¢-$2
New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$73.3¢0.0¢-$7
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Jamaica record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$30.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will Putin visit China by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$705.0¢0.0¢-$70
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$4511¢0.0¢-$45
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?CultureNoResolved$121.8¢0.0¢-$12
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$100.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?PoliticsNoResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
50% India tariff in effect by August 27?PoliticsNoResolved$185.7¢0.0¢-$18
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?CryptoYesResolved$1621¢0.0¢-$16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$406.5¢0.0¢-$40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$121.7¢0.0¢-$12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$123.7¢0.0¢-$12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$51.4¢0.0¢-$5
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$53.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?CultureYesResolved$2015¢0.0¢-$20
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?PoliticsYesResolved$51.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1010¢0.0¢-$10
US strike on Syria by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3014¢0.0¢-$30
Will Trump visit Israel before August?PoliticsYesResolved$201.4¢0.0¢-$20
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?PoliticsYesResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
US forces enter Iran by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$6070¢0.0¢-$60
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$102.5¢0.0¢-$10
Ethereum above $4400 on August 18?CryptoYesResolved$2763¢0.0¢-$27
Will HRPP win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?PoliticsYesResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$121.1¢0.0¢-$12
Will Trump say "Little Communist" during the 2026 State of the Union address?MentionsYesResolved$27.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$108.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will the US strike Yemen next?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$40.5¢0.0¢-$4
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$65.0¢0.0¢-$6
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$102.3¢0.0¢-$10
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$43.1¢0.0¢-$4
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$63.4¢0.0¢-$6
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$204.9¢0.0¢-$20
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$154.8¢0.0¢-$15
Will Andorra record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$163.7¢0.0¢-$16
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2301.7¢0.0¢-$230
US forces enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Finance-$148
Crypto-$143
Culture+$131
Politics-$86
World Cup-$53
Tech-$30
Weather-$12
Economy+$9
Olympics-$6
NFL-$4
Tennis-$3
Mentions-$2
Biggest hit
+$448
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$128
Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$110d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$1111d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$423d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1029d ago
  • Bought No · Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?$529d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$2029d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?$81mo ago
  • Bought No · Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?$101mo ago
  • Bought No · Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$101mo ago