Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $26 | 28¢ | 66¢ | +$34 |
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Politics | No | $43 | 49¢ | 50¢ | +$0 |
Negative GDP growth in 2026?Economy | No | $33 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?Crypto | No | $8 | 21¢ | 87¢ | +$25 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | Yes | $51 | 25¢ | 14¢ | -$23 |
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $47 | 51¢ | 26¢ | -$23 |
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 13¢ | 8.5¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 80¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $15 | 17¢ | 7.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?Crypto | Yes | $24 | 63¢ | 14¢ | -$18 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 78¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Iran nuclear test before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1 | 8.3¢ | 11¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $1 | 36¢ | 45¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 36¢ | 44¢ | +$0 |
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?Politics | No | $1 | 10.0¢ | 9.7¢ | -$0 |
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $39 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
Will "Wicked: For Good" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $8 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Tech | YesResolved | $35 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will Paul Thomas Anderson be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $2 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Stellan Skarsgard be nominated for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?Other sports | NoResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $45 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?Economy | YesResolved | $13 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?Culture | YesResolved | $11 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Sinners win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Economy | NoResolved | $45 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
Will Odessa A'zion be nominated for Best Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?Tech | NoResolved | $88 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$88 |
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $6 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the March meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $29 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Economy | YesResolved | $178 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$178 |
Will "Marty Supreme" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Tech | NoResolved | $46 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Will Gemini win the okbet trading competition?Crypto | YesResolved | $9 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $8 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Sentimental Value be nominated for Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $16 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Economy | NoResolved | $2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $24 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $11 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the NFC North?NFL | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will "Sinners" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $93 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$93 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Economy | NoResolved | $15 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Sinners win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $41 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
Will Hamnet be nominated for Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $5 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Stephen Graham win Best Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after February 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $19 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?Economy | NoResolved | $12 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will "Hamnet" be nominated for Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $2 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?NBA | NoResolved | $15 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Gwyneth Paltrow be nominated for Best Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?Economy | NoResolved | $3 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $65 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
Will Wagner Moura be nominated for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $7 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?Bundesliga | NoResolved | $7 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Matthew Macfayden be nominated for Best Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Stephen Graham (Adolescence) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?Culture | NoResolved | $3 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 5.0% by March 31?Economy | YesResolved | $16 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Glenn Close be nominated for Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $28 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by March 31?Culture | NoResolved | $4 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Economy | NoResolved | $12 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $28 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will Gwyneth Paltrow be nominated for Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will "One Battle After Another" be nominated for Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Cornyn flip Paxton for Texas Rep Senate Primary Winner by Jan 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Economy | NoResolved | $15 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Sinners be nominated for Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Owen Cooper win Best Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Economy | NoResolved | $46 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Tech | NoResolved | $31 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $58 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
Will Nouvelle Vague be nominated for Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut 50-100k employees in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $61 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the January meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $16 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?NBA | YesResolved | $13 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Politics | YesResolved | $32 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |