 Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 2.1¢ | +$17 |
 Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | Yes | $4 | 2.7¢ | 10¢ | +$12 |
 Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.3¢ | 1.3¢ | +$12 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.3¢ | 0.8¢ | +$6 |
 Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?Politics | Yes | $8 | 2.7¢ | 3.5¢ | +$2 |
 Will Meta have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 0.6¢ | 1.4¢ | +$5 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30?Crypto | No | $8 | 4.3¢ | 4.1¢ | -$0 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?Economy | Yes | $6 | 1.6¢ | 1.9¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 2.1¢ | 4.0¢ | +$4 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.2¢ | 1.8¢ | +$2 |
 Trump signs housing bill by end of July?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.5¢ | 0.9¢ | +$2 |
 Will Rennes win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Soccer (other) | Yes | $2 | 1.1¢ | 2.9¢ | +$4 |
 Will Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $4 | 2.1¢ | 3.3¢ | +$2 |
 Will G2 Esports Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?eSports | No | $4 | 2.1¢ | 3.0¢ | +$2 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August?Finance | Yes | $3 | 1.1¢ | 2.1¢ | +$3 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 27?Crypto | No | $6 | 1.0¢ | 1.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Politics | Yes | $4 | 3.4¢ | 4.6¢ | +$1 |
| Will Atalanta win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Serie A | Yes | $4 | 1.5¢ | 1.9¢ | +$1 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 28?Crypto | Yes | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.7¢ | +$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $4 | 1.2¢ | 1.5¢ | +$1 |
 Will LEVIATÁN Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?eSports | No | $4 | 2.0¢ | 2.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will Paris FC win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Soccer (other) | Yes | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.9¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.2¢ | 1.6¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $3 | 4.0¢ | 6.5¢ | +$2 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | Yes | $3 | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | +$1 |
 Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | +$0 |
 Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Soccer (other) | Yes | $2 | 2.8¢ | 5.0¢ | +$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 4.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 4.1¢ | 4.4¢ | +$0 |
 Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.7¢ | 1.6¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.5¢ | 1.6¢ | +$0 |
 Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLS | Yes | $3 | 0.8¢ | 1.1¢ | +$1 |
 Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?Culture | No | $3 | 2.6¢ | 3.9¢ | +$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 3.3¢ | 3.4¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $4 | 0.6¢ | 0.6¢ | -$0 |
| Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?NBA | Yes | $3 | 1.6¢ | 2.3¢ | +$1 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July?Finance | Yes | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | -$0 |
 Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $4 | 1.1¢ | 1.1¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $4 | 5.5¢ | 5.6¢ | +$0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26?Crypto | Yes | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 14?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 6.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.8¢ | 0.9¢ | +$1 |
 Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | +$1 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31?Culture | Yes | $3 | 3.0¢ | 4.0¢ | +$1 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.5¢ | 0.7¢ | +$1 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 3.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 0.6¢ | 0.6¢ | +$0 |
 Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Culture | No | $3 | 3.1¢ | 3.1¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $3 | 2.0¢ | 2.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026?Weather | Yes | $4 | 3.7¢ | 3.3¢ | -$0 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 2.5¢ | 2.2¢ | -$0 |
 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.9¢ | +$3 |
 Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 1.0¢ | 1.2¢ | +$1 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?Politics | Yes | $3 | 8.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$1 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 1.1¢ | 1.3¢ | +$1 |
| Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | Yes | $3 | 2.1¢ | 2.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will MrBeast say "Sword" during his next gaming YouTube video?Mentions | Yes | $3 | 2.1¢ | 2.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.6¢ | 4.4¢ | +$2 |
 Will NRPUP win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 1.3¢ | 1.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on July 1?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 6.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $2 | 2.1¢ | 2.9¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ariana Grande be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $3 | 0.9¢ | 0.9¢ | +$0 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 2.0¢ | 3.4¢ | +$1 |
| Will MrBeast say "Win" or "Winner" during his next gaming YouTube video?Mentions | Yes | $3 | 4.0¢ | 4.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $3 | 4.0¢ | 4.5¢ | +$0 |
| Will Lyon win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Soccer (other) | Yes | $3 | 1.9¢ | 2.1¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MA-08 House seat?Politics | Yes | $4 | 2.7¢ | 2.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLS | Yes | $3 | 1.1¢ | 1.2¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?Tech | No | $3 | 2.1¢ | 2.6¢ | +$1 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 5?Crypto | NoResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | -$1 |
 Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 National League Championship Series?MLB | Yes | $2 | 2.0¢ | 2.4¢ | +$0 |
 Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $0 | 5.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Tech | Yes | $3 | 3.2¢ | 3.4¢ | +$0 |
| Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.5¢ | 0.6¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?Politics | Yes | $3 | 1.9¢ | 2.0¢ | +$0 |
 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?Weather | Yes | $4 | 1.8¢ | 1.4¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.0T by July 31?Finance | Yes | $2 | 1.2¢ | 1.4¢ | +$0 |
| Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 2.2¢ | 3.8¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $3 | 2.7¢ | 2.8¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.9¢ | 0.9¢ | +$0 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.9¢ | +$2 |
| Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?NHL | Yes | $3 | 1.9¢ | 1.9¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 2?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-07 House seat?Politics | No | $3 | 4.1¢ | 4.2¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.2¢ | 1.4¢ | +$0 |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $3 | 2.3¢ | 2.4¢ | +$0 |
 Will Team WE win the LPL 2026 season?eSports | Yes | $3 | 2.6¢ | 2.6¢ | +$0 |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $4 | 1.1¢ | 0.8¢ | -$1 |
| Will Jio Platforms IPO by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 9.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Kurt Kitayama finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 3M Open?Golf | Yes | $0 | 2.0¢ | 16¢ | +$2 |
| Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 2.0¢ | 1.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | +$0 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | +$1 |
 Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 3.1¢ | 2.2¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $3 | 2.5¢ | 2.6¢ | +$0 |
 Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.0¢ | 4.8¢ | +$0 |
| Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Serie A | Yes | $2 | 2.3¢ | 3.5¢ | +$1 |
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 27?$01m ago
Sold Yes · Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?$03m ago
Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?$58m ago