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TwoTierKeir

Predicting since Apr 202685 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $59K on Politics markets since Apr 2026.

Right now: $50K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$11K on Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$14K91¢97¢+$869
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$9.1K84¢95¢+$1.1K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.2K24¢20¢-$238
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$31632¢69¢+$375
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$34888¢98¢+$38
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNo$39766¢56¢-$61
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$5345¢6.5¢-$45
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek MakhmudovBoxingMakhmudovResolved$28014¢0.0¢-$280
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?GolfYesResolved$5418¢0.0¢-$54
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?GolfYesResolved$582.3¢0.0¢-$58
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?PoliticsYesResolved$1423.5¢0.0¢-$142
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3825¢0.0¢-$38
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$32565¢0.0¢-$325
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?TechYesResolved$26376¢0.0¢-$263
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$49K99¢0.0¢-$49K
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$90.8¢0.0¢-$9
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$69199¢0.0¢-$691
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$45018¢0.0¢-$450
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$71289¢0.0¢-$712
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$7203.1¢0.0¢-$720
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$13920¢0.0¢-$139
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$707.0¢0.0¢-$70
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?PoliticsYesResolved$20.5¢0.0¢-$2
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$16533¢0.0¢-$165
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$24048¢0.0¢-$240
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$65588¢0.0¢-$655

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$59K
Crypto-$1.7K
Weather+$869
Other sports+$831
Mentions+$542
Culture+$341
Formula 1+$330
Boxing-$280
Tech-$263
Golf-$112
eSports+$11
Biggest hit
+$11K
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$32K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?