← Whale Watch

SirHarryOakes

Predicting since Jul 2024278 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $40K on Politics markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $15K riding on Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$4.3K on Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$14K86¢90¢+$722
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$15K91¢92¢+$28
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$10K68¢92¢+$3.5K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7.6K81¢88¢+$652
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$6.1K85¢97¢+$866
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$6.0K80¢80¢-$36
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$3.2K95¢99¢+$135
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?PoliticsYes$3.7K81¢69¢-$574
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2.7K83¢87¢+$116
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.0K67¢83¢+$471
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.8K87¢87¢-$6
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?PoliticsYes$80091¢92¢+$12
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$50084¢89¢+$24
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$50085¢85¢-$5
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$50069¢64¢-$42
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsYes$20076¢77¢+$0
49ers vs. EaglesNFLEaglesResolved$2577¢0.0¢-$25

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$40K
Crypto+$5.8K
NFL+$1.3K
World Cup+$187
Culture+$105
Other-$60
NBA+$39
MLB+$28
Finance+$20
Tech+$5
Biggest hit
+$4.3K
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Toughest beat
-$6.6K
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$12d ago
  • Bought No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$23d ago
  • Bought No · Iran leadership change by July 31?$1014d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?$1014d ago
  • Bought No · Iran leadership change by July 31?$284d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?$284d ago
  • Bought No · Iran leadership change by July 31?$14d ago
  • Bought No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$15d ago
  • Bought No · Iran leadership change by July 31?$3.0K6d ago
  • Sold No · Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$3.0K6d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$28d ago