 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 3.8¢ | 99¢ | +$57 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $6 | 11¢ | 65¢ | +$27 |
 Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $6 | 20¢ | 100¢ | +$24 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 3.8¢ | 98¢ | +$28 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 50¢ | 86¢ | +$11 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | Yes | $6 | 20¢ | 80¢ | +$18 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 3.1¢ | 79¢ | +$23 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $5 | 11¢ | 55¢ | +$19 |
 Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 14¢ | 39¢ | +$13 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $10 | 33¢ | 64¢ | +$9 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) close at $315-$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 100¢ | +$16 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4 | 20¢ | 80¢ | +$13 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$2 |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 53¢ | +$12 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 79¢ | +$14 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $4 | 20¢ | 79¢ | +$12 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 45¢ | +$10 |
 Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 42¢ | +$10 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $12 | 20¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $12 | 20¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
 Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 13¢ | 68¢ | +$9 |
 Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 50¢ | 32¢ | -$5 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $29 | 50¢ | 17¢ | -$19 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 17¢ | 48¢ | +$6 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 30¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?Economy | Yes | $10 | 20¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
 Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?Tech | Yes | $2 | 5.3¢ | 23¢ | +$6 |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?Tech | Yes | $1 | 5.3¢ | 56¢ | +$7 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of July?Tech | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 36¢ | +$4 |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AIX?Tech | Yes | $3 | 5.3¢ | 15¢ | +$5 |
 Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $12 | 33¢ | 20¢ | -$5 |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $6 | 20¢ | 23¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?Tech | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 31¢ | +$4 |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 23¢ | +$2 |
 Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 7.7¢ | +$3 |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 50¢ | 18¢ | -$8 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?Tech | Yes | $2 | 13¢ | 27¢ | +$2 |
| Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $9 | 14¢ | 7.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 21¢ | +$2 |
| Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 14¢ | 4.5¢ | -$9 |
| Will OpenAI raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?Tech | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 21¢ | +$2 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of July?Tech | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 60¢ | +$2 |
| Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO?Tech | Yes | $5 | 50¢ | 30¢ | -$2 |
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 14¢ | 26¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $45 | 50¢ | 3.4¢ | -$42 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $1 | 3.6¢ | 9.5¢ | +$2 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 9.2¢ | -$2 |
 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 3.1¢ | 7.0¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the July meeting?Economy | Yes | $6 | 20¢ | 8.5¢ | -$3 |
| Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 7.8¢ | -$2 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $18 | 20¢ | 2.6¢ | -$16 |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 7.6¢ | -$1 |
 Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 3.1¢ | 1.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will OpenAI raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?Tech | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 8.4¢ | -$1 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?Economy | Yes | $10 | 17¢ | 3.4¢ | -$8 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?Tech | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 9.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of July?Tech | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 6.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $6 | 11¢ | 3.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between -1.6% and -0.8%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 5.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Tech | Yes | $5 | 50¢ | 14¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?Economy | Yes | $10 | 20¢ | 2.9¢ | -$8 |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 1.6% and 2.4%?Economy | Yes | $2 | 10¢ | 8.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 6.3¢ | 11¢ | +$1 |
| Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 14¢ | 1.7¢ | -$10 |
| Will OpenAI raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?Tech | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 4.3¢ | -$2 |
| Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $12 | 13¢ | 1.4¢ | -$10 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 2000.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 4.2¢ | -$4 |
 Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 4.2¢ | -$3 |
| Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 13¢ | 2.5¢ | -$5 |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 1.3%?Economy | Yes | $7 | 17¢ | 2.9¢ | -$6 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 3.8¢ | 1.3¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $7 | 11¢ | 1.9¢ | -$6 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.0T and $2.25T?Tech | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 10¢ | -$0 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1800.00 and 1899.99 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 3.6¢ | -$4 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.8¢ | 3.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $5 | 11¢ | 2.5¢ | -$4 |
| Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $14 | 13¢ | 0.9¢ | -$13 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $13 | 14¢ | 1.1¢ | -$12 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.9¢ | 4.2¢ | +$0 |
| Will the US strike 1 country in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Micron (MU) close at $920-$940 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the US lose jobs in June?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $140-$142 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Dollar Tree Q1 comparable store net sales growth be above 5%?Finance | YesResolved | $8 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be below -3%?Finance | YesResolved | $13 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close at $290-$295 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?Economy | YesResolved | $15 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will the US strike 0 countries in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Micron (MU) close at $840-$860 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $19 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) close at $390-$395 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close at $300-$305 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close at $350-$355 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Sold Yes · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$179d ago
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