← Whale Watch

Lively-Custard

Predicting since Nov 202271 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $4.1K on Politics markets since Nov 2022.

Biggest hit: +$4.4K on Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsYes$5022¢7.5¢-$33
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$5523¢0.0¢-$55
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)eSportsFlyQuestResolved$10044¢0.0¢-$100
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 WinnereSportsInvictus GamingResolved$258.3¢0.0¢-$25
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)eSportsKT RolsterResolved$3537¢0.0¢-$35
Will Lebron announce final season Tuesday? NBAYesResolved$201.6¢0.0¢-$20
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Team FalconseSportsTeam FalconsResolved$4450¢0.0¢-$44
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. BNK FEARXeSportsNongshimResolved$28829¢0.0¢-$288
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? CryptoNoResolved$30.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Other sportsYesResolved$9082¢0.0¢-$90
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)eSportsInvictus GamingResolved$103.5¢0.0¢-$10
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)eSportsT1Resolved$12075¢0.0¢-$120
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)eSportsGen.GResolved$20068¢0.0¢-$200
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?PoliticsNoResolved$1073¢0.0¢-$10
Mariners vs. RaysMLBMarinersResolved$2052¢0.0¢-$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$4.1K
eSports-$650
Crypto-$526
Basketball (other)-$203
Other sports-$131
NBA-$70
MLB-$36
Culture+$1
Other-$1
Biggest hit
+$4.4K
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Toughest beat
-$464
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$04mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$3404mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$506mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$506mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$2036mo ago
  • Bought No · Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $36mo ago
  • Sold No · Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$36mo ago
  • Bought No · Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$36mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$36mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$907mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the price of Solana be between $210 and $215 on September 3?$07mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$07mo ago