← Whale Watch

guo-rich

Predicting since Jul 2026776 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Vert at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sportsNo$1470¢99¢+$6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?FinanceYes$1888¢99¢+$2
Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the #2 US song this week?CultureYes$1681¢87¢+$1
Will Trump say "Trump" 5+ times during Michigan remarks?MentionsYes$1891¢81¢-$2
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?PoliticsNo$1892¢70¢-$4
Will Trump say "See You Soon" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsNo$1890¢67¢-$5
Will Meta (META) Q2 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $35B?FinanceNo$1889¢54¢-$7
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?PoliticsNo$1888¢52¢-$7
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?TechNo$1171¢67¢-$1
Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?PoliticsNo$1363¢52¢-$2
Will Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 245?FinanceNo$1687¢52¢-$7
Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsNo$1068¢63¢-$1
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 in July?FinanceNo$1468¢44¢-$5
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?WeatherNo$963¢60¢-$1
Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$1380¢54¢-$4
Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?TechNo$1475¢46¢-$5
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?TechYes$1258¢41¢-$4
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?TechYes$945¢39¢-$1
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1154¢37¢-$4
Will Trump say "Security" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsNo$1680¢36¢-$9
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Mac revenue be above $8.5B?FinanceNo$943¢36¢-$1
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$1468¢34¢-$7
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?TechNo$1051¢34¢-$3
Will Booking (BKNG) Q2 gross bookings be above $51B?FinanceYes$1575¢32¢-$9
Will Russia enter Matiasheve by October 31?PoliticsNo$1363¢30¢-$7
Will there be 7+ hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?WeatherYes$630¢29¢-$0
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$552¢57¢+$0
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud revenue be above $58B?FinanceNo$945¢27¢-$4
Will MarketAxess (MKTX) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$1052¢27¢-$5
Will George Moraitis be the FL-25 Republican nominee?PoliticsYes$630¢26¢-$1
Will Chevron (CVX) Q2 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.1M?FinanceYes$840¢24¢-$3
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Greater China revenue be above $18B?FinanceNo$1472¢24¢-$10
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?TechYes$536¢33¢-$0
Will Booking (BKNG) Q2 gross bookings be above $53B?FinanceYes$838¢22¢-$3
Will 55 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?PoliticsYes$842¢21¢-$4
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$840¢21¢-$4
Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026?TechYes$546¢42¢-$0
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPhone revenue be above $52B?FinanceNo$946¢20¢-$5
Will Meta (META) Q2 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $40B?FinanceYes$629¢18¢-$2
Will Booking (BKNG) Q2 gross bookings be above $49B?FinanceNo$523¢17¢-$1
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?CultureNo$1048¢17¢-$6
Will KLA Corp (KLAC) Q4 total revenues be above $3.6B?FinanceNo$540¢25¢-$2
Zuffa Boxing 9: Francis vs. Sosa (Catchweight, Prelims)BoxingFrancis$354¢56¢+$0
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?PoliticsNo$359¢60¢+$0
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1510 by December 31?TechNo$632¢14¢-$4
Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$422¢12¢-$2
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 136m and 144m?CultureYes$540¢18¢-$3
Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027?PoliticsNo$388¢69¢-$1
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 27?PoliticsYes$1051¢10¢-$8
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$534¢13¢-$3
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?CultureNo$317¢8.0¢-$2
Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$268¢66¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?PoliticsYes$115¢40¢+$1
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?TechNo$15.2¢13¢+$1
Will KLA Corp (KLAC) Q4 total revenues be above $3.8B?FinanceYes$28.0¢5.4¢-$1
Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 62m by August 31?CultureYes$15.0¢5.1¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Finance-$412
Politics-$152
Culture-$60
Tech-$47
Mentions-$31
NFL-$29
Crypto-$26
eSports-$26
Other-$8
Weather+$6
Economy-$5
Soccer (other)-$4
Biggest hit
+$10
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 20?
Toughest beat
-$13
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Washtenaw County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?$318m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?$418m ago
  • Sold No · Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Vert at X Games New Orleans 2026?$152h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$123h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$143h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the #2 US song this week?$164h ago
  • Bought No · Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?$34h ago
  • Sold No · Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?$34h ago
  • Bought No · Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?$44h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$137h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Gen.G Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?$77h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Gen.G Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?$77h ago