← Whale Watch

Fallout2

Predicting since Sep 20251,044 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $30K on Crypto markets since Sep 2025.

Right now: $1.5K riding on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET.

Biggest hit: +$5.4K on Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10AM ET.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$22020¢0.0¢-$220
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$80025¢0.0¢-$800
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1209.4¢0.0¢-$120
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$37524¢0.0¢-$375
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$462.0¢0.0¢-$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.2K44¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 2PM ETCryptoUpResolved$201.0¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$60052¢0.0¢-$600
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1.3K30¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$31920¢0.0¢-$319
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$30022¢0.0¢-$300
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1019.3¢0.0¢-$101
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$49327¢0.0¢-$493
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$95348¢0.0¢-$953
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$5030¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1179.4¢0.0¢-$117
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1809.5¢0.0¢-$180
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$5020¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$42922¢0.0¢-$429
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$100065¢0.0¢-$1000
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$10033¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETCryptoDownResolved$50023¢0.0¢-$500
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETCryptoUpResolved$56925¢0.0¢-$569
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.2K42¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$40035¢0.0¢-$400
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 6AM ETCryptoDownResolved$201.5¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$56829¢0.0¢-$568
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$93144¢0.0¢-$931
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$252.1¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$50021¢0.0¢-$500
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$433.1¢0.0¢-$43
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?WeatherYesResolved$777.1¢0.0¢-$77
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.5K44¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$10013¢0.0¢-$100
Sabres vs. LightningNHLSabresResolved$77938¢0.0¢-$779
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$60025¢0.0¢-$600
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$25820¢0.0¢-$258
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$20013¢0.0¢-$200
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$30021¢0.0¢-$300
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$21918¢0.0¢-$219
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETCryptoUpResolved$10026¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$89821¢0.0¢-$898
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$39432¢0.0¢-$394
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2515¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1004.3¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 12PM ETCryptoDownResolved$56049¢0.0¢-$560
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$100.7¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$40021¢0.0¢-$400
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$40036¢0.0¢-$400
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.4K17¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$22117¢0.0¢-$221
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$60027¢0.0¢-$600
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$30019¢0.0¢-$300

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$30K
NHL+$7.4K
Politics-$4.7K
Mentions-$3.7K
Economy+$2.1K
Culture-$1.8K
World Cup-$1.3K
Tech-$1.2K
Other-$812
NFL-$500
Other sports-$180
Weather-$77
Biggest hit
+$5.4K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10AM ET
Toughest beat
-$2.1K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$05d ago
  • Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$05d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1045d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1045d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1045d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1045d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1045d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1045d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1045d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1045d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1045d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1045d ago