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Kawabanga25

Predicting since Oct 2025413 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $25K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $1.6K riding on Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$18K on Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsYes$1.6K20¢12¢-$616
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$1.0K17¢17¢-$29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$93124¢22¢-$106
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$6161.4¢1.0¢-$164
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsYes$8204.0¢1.1¢-$587
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1007.0¢8.5¢+$21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?FinanceYes$1009.9¢11¢+$11
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1009.5¢7.2¢-$24
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$303.0¢2.4¢-$6
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$151.5¢1.1¢-$4
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?PoliticsYes$404.9¢0.8¢-$33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsYes$131.0¢0.4¢-$8
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 21?PoliticsYesResolved$1307.8¢0.0¢-$130
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation?MentionsYesResolved$4221¢0.0¢-$42
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$482.0¢0.0¢-$48
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?PoliticsYesResolved$1008.7¢0.0¢-$100
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$3394.5¢0.0¢-$339
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?World CupNoResolved$422.7¢0.0¢-$42

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$25K
World Cup+$6.2K
NBA-$2.2K
Champions League+$1.8K
Crypto-$1.3K
Culture-$986
UFC / MMA+$984
Soccer (other)-$769
Basketball (other)-$543
Finance-$478
Tennis-$346
Tech+$337
Biggest hit
+$18K
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Toughest beat
-$5.6K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.0K16m ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$1540m ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$141m ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$17741m ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$10041m ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$10041m ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$10041m ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$30041m ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$87541m ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$6.1K42m ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$695h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$2005h ago