Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.3¢ | 93¢ | +$27 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 93¢ | +$23 |
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Tech | Yes | $2 | 5.3¢ | 87¢ | +$24 |
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.3¢ | 86¢ | +$24 |
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 14¢ | 100¢ | +$21 |
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $145-$150 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?Finance | YesResolved | $12 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$12 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.7¢ | 73¢ | +$20 |
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 68¢ | +$15 |
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Tech | Yes | $12 | 50¢ | 79¢ | +$7 |
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 66¢ | +$13 |
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.4¢ | 77¢ | +$15 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $15 | 50¢ | 49¢ | -$0 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $200-$205 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?Finance | YesResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $7 | 50¢ | 93¢ | +$6 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $6 | 20¢ | 39¢ | +$6 |
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Politics | Yes | $4 | 6.7¢ | 19¢ | +$7 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?Finance | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 37¢ | +$6 |
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $15 | 50¢ | 30¢ | -$6 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?Finance | Yes | $7 | 17¢ | 22¢ | +$2 |
Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 20¢ | 39¢ | +$4 |
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $2 | 17¢ | 55¢ | +$5 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?Finance | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 22¢ | +$2 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 21¢ | +$3 |
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 11¢ | 64¢ | +$5 |
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 19¢ | +$1 |
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1300.00 and 1349.99 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 17¢ | +$2 |
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 19¢ | +$2 |
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1550.00 and 1599.99 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 17¢ | +$2 |
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 6.3¢ | 6.3¢ | +$0 |
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $2 | 14¢ | 29¢ | +$2 |
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1350.00 and 1399.99 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 7.7¢ | 5.8¢ | -$1 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,000-$6,500 in December?Finance | Yes | $7 | 17¢ | 7.5¢ | -$4 |
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1250.00 and 1299.99 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 11¢ | -$0 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 10¢ | -$1 |
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 14¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Tech | Yes | $2 | 5.3¢ | 9.1¢ | +$1 |
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 8.3¢ | 17¢ | +$1 |
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 8.3¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 6.6¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $1 | 10¢ | 15¢ | +$1 |
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 8.3¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 8.3¢ | 5.9¢ | -$1 |
Will Axis Bank Ltd be the largest Indian company?Economy | Yes | $1 | 6.3¢ | 11¢ | +$1 |
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $2.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 50¢ | 5.7¢ | -$13 |
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 8.3¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 8.3¢ | 5.1¢ | -$1 |
Will ICICI Bank Ltd be the largest Indian company?Economy | Yes | $2 | 6.3¢ | 4.9¢ | -$0 |
Will HDFC Bank Ltd be the largest Indian company?Economy | Yes | $1 | 6.3¢ | 6.2¢ | -$0 |
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1 | 10¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
Will Adani Power Ltd be the largest Indian company?Economy | Yes | $1 | 6.3¢ | 6.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 3.4¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
Will Larsen & Toubro Ltd be the largest Indian company?Economy | Yes | $2 | 6.3¢ | 4.3¢ | -$1 |
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1450.00 and 1499.99 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 11¢ | 10¢ | -$0 |
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 8.3¢ | 4.2¢ | -$1 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $7 | 14¢ | 2.4¢ | -$6 |
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $4 | 3.6¢ | 1.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.4¢ | 4.0¢ | +$0 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $14 | 7.7¢ | 0.7¢ | -$13 |
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.6¢ | 4.3¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 3.9¢ | -$2 |
Will South African inflation be between 3.5% and 3.8% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 4.5¢ | -$1 |
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 6.3¢ | 1.2¢ | -$5 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.3¢ | 1.8¢ | -$1 |
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1250.00 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 50¢ | 3.5¢ | -$14 |
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1500.00 and 1549.99 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 11¢ | 10¢ | -$0 |
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 18?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $135 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$135 |
Will Micron (MU) close at $1,040-$1,060 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at >$150 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$335 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.50–$1.75 in May?Economy | YesResolved | $6 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$220 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?Finance | YesResolved | $15 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.8% and 6.1%?Politics | YesResolved | $75 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $150-$155 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will ByteDance have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 27, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 8, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 19?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.25–$3.50 in May?Economy | YesResolved | $6 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Microsoft have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 24, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in May?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $50-$60 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $155-$160 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Meta (META) close at $590-$600 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |