 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.3¢ | 91¢ | +$26 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 81¢ | +$20 |
 Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $145-$150 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 100¢ | +$21 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.7¢ | 69¢ | +$19 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Tech | Yes | $2 | 5.3¢ | 67¢ | +$19 |
 Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 64¢ | +$14 |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Tech | Yes | $2 | 5.3¢ | 55¢ | +$15 |
 Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 63¢ | +$12 |
 Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.4¢ | 70¢ | +$14 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Politics | Yes | $4 | 6.7¢ | 24¢ | +$10 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.3¢ | 45¢ | +$12 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $200-$205 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 100¢ | +$12 |
 Will Neuralink have the third highest private market valuation on July 31?Tech | Yes | $3 | 9.1¢ | 44¢ | +$10 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 40¢ | +$7 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $7 | 50¢ | 85¢ | +$5 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $15 | 50¢ | 34¢ | -$5 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 20¢ | 42¢ | +$5 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $6 | 20¢ | 29¢ | +$3 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?Finance | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 28¢ | +$3 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?Finance | Yes | $7 | 17¢ | 21¢ | +$2 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Tech | Yes | $12 | 50¢ | 33¢ | -$4 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Economy | Yes | $5 | 14¢ | 19¢ | +$2 |
 Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 21¢ | +$2 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?Finance | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
| Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be at least 1.5%?Economy | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 20¢ | +$2 |
 Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 11¢ | 62¢ | +$5 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 7.7¢ | 9.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 6.3¢ | 8.8¢ | +$2 |
| Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than 0.0%?Economy | Yes | $15 | 50¢ | 18¢ | -$10 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 17¢ | +$2 |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by at least 4.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 15¢ | +$2 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 15¢ | +$0 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,000-$6,500 in December?Finance | Yes | $7 | 17¢ | 9.5¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 8.3¢ | 30¢ | +$3 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $2 | 17¢ | 33¢ | +$2 |
 Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.4¢ | 13¢ | +$3 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $15 | 50¢ | 13¢ | -$11 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $15 | 50¢ | 12¢ | -$11 |
 Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 8.3¢ | 12¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $2 | 14¢ | 27¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 8.3¢ | 11¢ | +$1 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $6 | 20¢ | 11¢ | -$3 |
 Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Tech | Yes | $5 | 5.3¢ | 3.6¢ | -$1 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1550.00 and 1599.99 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 11¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $7 | 14¢ | 5.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 8.3¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 8.3¢ | 8.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Tech | Yes | $5 | 5.3¢ | 2.6¢ | -$2 |
| Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?Economy | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 7.8¢ | -$2 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?Politics | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 8.3¢ | -$1 |
 Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 9.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Larsen & Toubro Ltd be the largest Indian company?Economy | Yes | $2 | 6.3¢ | 7.6¢ | +$0 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 7.7¢ | 3.8¢ | -$2 |
 Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on July 31?Tech | Yes | $3 | 9.1¢ | 7.3¢ | -$1 |
| Will South African inflation be between 3.5% and 3.8% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 8.6¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 8.3¢ | 7.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%?Economy | Yes | $12 | 50¢ | 7.8¢ | -$10 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1500.00 and 1549.99 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 11¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 1.0%?Economy | Yes | $21 | 50¢ | 4.3¢ | -$19 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $14 | 7.7¢ | 0.9¢ | -$12 |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 5.5¢ | -$3 |
| Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 19¢ | +$0 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.3¢ | 2.6¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $2.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 50¢ | 4.9¢ | -$14 |
| Will ICICI Bank Ltd be the largest Indian company?Economy | Yes | $2 | 6.3¢ | 4.8¢ | -$0 |
| Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 6.3¢ | 1.8¢ | -$3 |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 4.4¢ | -$3 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $40 | 50¢ | 1.6¢ | -$39 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 8.3¢ | 9.3¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 4.1¢ | -$3 |
 Will Canva have the third highest private market valuation on July 31?Tech | Yes | $3 | 9.1¢ | 4.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Perplexity have the third highest private market valuation on July 31?Tech | Yes | $3 | 9.1¢ | 4.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $30 | 50¢ | 2.0¢ | -$29 |
| Will Infosys Ltd be the largest Indian company?Economy | Yes | $1 | 6.3¢ | 7.2¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 3.9¢ | -$2 |
| Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 6.3¢ | 1.3¢ | -$4 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $2 | 14¢ | 8.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will HDFC Bank Ltd be the largest Indian company?Economy | Yes | $1 | 6.3¢ | 5.2¢ | -$0 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Politics | Yes | $30 | 50¢ | 1.8¢ | -$29 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?Politics | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $18 | 7.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$17 |
 Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Tech | Yes | $5 | 5.3¢ | 1.1¢ | -$4 |
 Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 3.4¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
 Will Kraken have the third highest private market valuation on July 31?Tech | Yes | $3 | 9.1¢ | 3.4¢ | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $1 | 10¢ | 8.1¢ | -$0 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 15¢ | -$0 |
 Will Claude Mythos be released on June 18?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $14 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will Micron (MU) close at $1,040-$1,060 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Palantir (PLTR) close at >$150 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$335 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.50–$1.75 in May?Economy | YesResolved | $6 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |