 Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?Other sports | No | $40 | 87¢ | 83¢ | -$2 |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $20 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 43¢ | 35¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 3%-6%?Politics | No | $19 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Tech | Yes | $19 | 92¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Economy | No | $18 | 91¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 10%-15%?Politics | No | $18 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 Will Justin Gaethje fight Charles Oliveira next?UFC / MMA | No | $20 | 92¢ | 80¢ | -$3 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Politics | No | $25 | 50¢ | 35¢ | -$8 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000?Politics | No | $20 | 84¢ | 71¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 45%-50%?Politics | No | $17 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?Economy | No | $18 | 91¢ | 85¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republicans win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 40¢ | 32¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 25%-30%?Politics | No | $17 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Will the 2027 UEFA Champions League winner come from Germany?Champions League | No | $17 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 25%-30%?Politics | No | $17 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $17 | 86¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 0%-3%?Politics | No | $17 | 87¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
 Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31?Politics | No | $17 | 86¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 98.00 in September?Finance | No | $20 | 83¢ | 70¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?Politics | No | $17 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Politics | No | $17 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?Politics | No | $18 | 88¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Tech | Yes | $20 | 89¢ | 76¢ | -$3 |
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $17 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Dolphins win the season series against the Jets during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $18 | 89¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 55%-60%?Politics | No | $17 | 87¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 30%-35%?Politics | No | $17 | 87¢ | 81¢ | -$1 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September?Economy | No | $18 | 88¢ | 81¢ | -$2 |
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $18 | 88¢ | 81¢ | -$2 |
 Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in September 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 90¢ | 79¢ | -$2 |
 Will Amir Zuccolo win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?Politics | No | $17 | 87¢ | 78¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 3%-6%?Politics | No | $17 | 84¢ | 78¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-06 House election by 25%-30%?Politics | No | $18 | 88¢ | 78¢ | -$2 |
 Will Marco Bezzecchi win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?Other sports | No | $17 | 84¢ | 78¢ | -$1 |
 Will Samanda de Lula win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?Politics | No | $17 | 85¢ | 77¢ | -$2 |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $16 | 85¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | No | $17 | 84¢ | 75¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 6%-9%?Politics | No | $17 | 85¢ | 75¢ | -$2 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?Politics | No | $18 | 89¢ | 74¢ | -$3 |
 Will Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Politics | No | $17 | 87¢ | 74¢ | -$3 |
 Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | No | $17 | 85¢ | 74¢ | -$2 |
 Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $17 | 85¢ | 73¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 25%-30%?Politics | No | $17 | 87¢ | 73¢ | -$3 |
 Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $18 | 90¢ | 73¢ | -$3 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Tech | No | $15 | 87¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Bears win the season series against the Lions during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $18 | 88¢ | 72¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 45%-50%?Politics | No | $17 | 87¢ | 72¢ | -$3 |
 Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $18 | 92¢ | 71¢ | -$4 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,000,000 and 8,250,000?Politics | No | $17 | 84¢ | 71¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 10%-15%?Politics | No | $17 | 84¢ | 71¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 30%-35%?Politics | No | $17 | 86¢ | 70¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $17 | 83¢ | 70¢ | -$3 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $13 | 35¢ | 38¢ | +$1 |
 Will Rafael Motta win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?Politics | No | $16 | 89¢ | 74¢ | -$3 |
 Will Shelbourne be relegated from the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?Soccer (other) | No | $16 | 86¢ | 72¢ | -$3 |
 Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?Politics | No | $14 | 40¢ | 37¢ | -$1 |
 Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?Politics | No | $18 | 88¢ | 65¢ | -$5 |
 Will Mkhuleko Hlengwa be the next mayor of eThekwini?Politics | No | $18 | 89¢ | 65¢ | -$5 |
 Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $13 | 85¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
 Will LSU Tigers Win the 2026 SEC Championship?College Football | No | $13 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Politics | No | $18 | 89¢ | 63¢ | -$5 |
 Will Cid Gomes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?Politics | No | $13 | 87¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ousainou Darboe win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?Politics | No | $11 | 90¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
 Will Marco Rubio give the next White House press briefing?Politics | No | $20 | 85¢ | 44¢ | -$9 |
 Will Donald Martel win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | No | $17 | 87¢ | 47¢ | -$8 |
 Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in August?Economy | No | $12 | 90¢ | 73¢ | -$2 |
 Will Democrats win young men in the midterms?Politics | No | $20 | 87¢ | 39¢ | -$11 |
 Will Trump say "Qualcomm" in September?Mentions | No | $10 | 88¢ | 70¢ | -$2 |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 8.0¢ | 27¢ | +$4 |
 Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026?Weather | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 24¢ | +$2 |
 Will Angela Murray win Big Brother season 28?Culture | No | $4 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Politics | No | $7 | 34¢ | 21¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Falcons win the season series against the Buccaneers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $4 | 86¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 9.2¢ | 16¢ | +$2 |
 Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 12¢ | 10¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-11 House election by 12% or more?Politics | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 19¢ | +$1 |
| Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 19¢ | +$2 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $3 | 13¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 55%-60%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 10¢ | 19¢ | +$2 |
 Will Seoul have between 75-100mm of precipitation in September?Weather | Yes | $4 | 9.0¢ | 8.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 13¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
 Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by September 30?Finance | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy | Yes | $1 | 6.0¢ | 18¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-01 House election by 45%-50%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 10¢ | 17¢ | +$1 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | Yes | $3 | 7.9¢ | 8.3¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 21% or more?Politics | Yes | $2 | 10¢ | 17¢ | +$1 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | Yes | $4 | 83¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
| Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026?Weather | No | $3 | 85¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-01 House election by 0%-10%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 10¢ | 15¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 55% or more?Politics | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
 Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?MLB | No | $4 | 87¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump praise Jon Rahm in September?Politics | Yes | $3 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Will New People (NL) win between 35 and 44 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
| Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?MLB | Yes | $1 | 11¢ | 41¢ | +$2 |
 Will Sally Doyle win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 11¢ | 5.5¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 30% or more?Politics | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
 Will the US add at least 200k jobs in September?Economy | Yes | $2 | 8.0¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
 Will Team Vitality Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?eSports | Yes | $2 | 8.2¢ | 12¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
Bought No · Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?$222m ago
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