← Whale Watch

Rain-Prob-01

Predicting since Apr 20262,859 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNo$24.8¢49¢+$19
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?TechNo$212¢71¢+$10
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?PoliticsNo$29.0¢46¢+$8
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?CultureNo$212¢51¢+$6
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$29.0¢35¢+$6
Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?CultureNo$212¢46¢+$5
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?TechNo$212¢42¢+$4
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$29.0¢28¢+$4
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?PoliticsNo$212¢37¢+$4
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$212¢34¢+$4
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?PoliticsNo$211¢32¢+$4
Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?PoliticsNo$212¢33¢+$3
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?PoliticsNo$46.2¢8.1¢+$1
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoNo$210¢25¢+$3
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?PoliticsNo$212¢30¢+$3
Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$410¢12¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$211¢25¢+$3
Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026?TennisSinner$222¢53¢+$3
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$211¢23¢+$2
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?PoliticsNo$23.0¢6.0¢+$2
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?PoliticsNo$213¢25¢+$2
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?PoliticsNo$49.1¢8.4¢-$0
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$24.1¢7.6¢+$2
Will the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?MLBU 74.5$212¢22¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the ID-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$23.3¢5.9¢+$2
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?PoliticsNo$212¢21¢+$2
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$44.1¢3.5¢-$1
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?PoliticsNo$213¢23¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?PoliticsNo$23.8¢6.3¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$49.5¢7.7¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?PoliticsNo$23.9¢6.2¢+$1
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?EconomyNo$213¢21¢+$1
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsNo$212¢20¢+$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$212¢19¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$24.2¢6.5¢+$1
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?CultureNo$212¢18¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$29.0¢14¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-05 House seat?PoliticsNo$212¢18¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat?PoliticsNo$27.7¢11¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?PoliticsNo$28.0¢12¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$212¢17¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$212¢18¢+$1
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$23.0¢4.2¢+$1
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$212¢17¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat?PoliticsNo$212¢17¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the WY-AL House seat?PoliticsNo$24.5¢6.2¢+$1
Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?PoliticsNo$46.4¢4.4¢-$1
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$48.8¢6.0¢-$1
Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat?PoliticsNo$28.0¢11¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?PoliticsNo$212¢17¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?PoliticsNo$28.0¢11¢+$1
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?CultureNo$213¢17¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$213¢17¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-35 House seat?PoliticsNo$25.0¢6.5¢+$1
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$213¢18¢+$1
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?PoliticsNo$28.3¢11¢+$1
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?TechNo$29.0¢12¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$25.1¢6.3¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat?PoliticsNo$211¢14¢+$0
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?CryptoNo$222¢27¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?PoliticsNo$29.0¢11¢+$0
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$210¢12¢+$0
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsNo$214¢17¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$213¢16¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$25.0¢5.9¢+$0
Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?PoliticsNo$45.8¢3.4¢-$2
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$68.3¢3.3¢-$4
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$25.0¢5.9¢+$0
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central titleMLBNo$212¢14¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$25.2¢6.0¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-22 House seat?PoliticsNo$211¢13¢+$0
Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?PoliticsNo$411¢6.3¢-$2
Will the Republican Party win the PA-11 House seat?PoliticsNo$212¢14¢+$0
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$212¢14¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?PoliticsNo$212¢14¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$212¢14¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$212¢14¢+$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$215¢17¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?PoliticsNo$211¢12¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-45 House seat?PoliticsNo$212¢14¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-25 House seat?PoliticsNo$26.0¢6.5¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$26.0¢6.5¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$26.0¢6.5¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-25 House seat?PoliticsNo$212¢13¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?PoliticsNo$214¢15¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$28.0¢8.5¢+$0
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$29.0¢9.5¢+$0
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?PoliticsNo$212¢13¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat?PoliticsNo$25.5¢5.8¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat?PoliticsNo$211¢12¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?PoliticsNo$212¢13¢+$0
Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?PoliticsNo$212¢13¢+$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?CultureNo$212¢13¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the TN-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$212¢13¢+$0
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?PoliticsNo$212¢13¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-17 House seat?PoliticsNo$25.0¢5.1¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$212¢12¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?PoliticsNo$27.9¢8.1¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat?PoliticsNo$28.2¢8.3¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat?PoliticsNo$26.0¢6.0¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto+$190
Politics-$139
Finance-$130
eSports-$92
Weather-$89
Culture-$78
Tennis-$62
Soccer (other)-$38
NHL-$37
Cricket-$34
Tech-$31
Premier League-$24
Biggest hit
+$133
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?
Toughest beat
-$4
Will Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?$21h ago
  • Bought No · Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?$210h ago
  • Bought No · Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?$216h ago
  • Bought No · Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?$21d ago
  • Bought No · Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$21d ago
  • Bought No · Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$21d ago
  • Bought No · Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title$21d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?$22d ago
  • Bought No · Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?$22d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$22d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Atlanta Braves clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?$22d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat?$23d ago