Montaigne

Predicting since Feb 202649,982 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $15K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $2.8M across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$4.5K on Netanyahu out by March 31?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	No	$1.4M	50¢	89¢	+$1.1M
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$1.4M	50¢	11¢	-$1.1M
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$225	40¢	0.0¢	-$225
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$17	28¢	0.0¢	-$17
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Politics	YesResolved	$13	57¢	0.0¢	-$13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1.5K	28¢	0.0¢	-$1.5K
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Culture	NoResolved	$24	40¢	0.0¢	-$24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$32	34¢	0.0¢	-$32
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Politics	NoResolved	$81	65¢	0.0¢	-$81
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Politics	YesResolved	$726	36¢	0.0¢	-$726
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Politics	YesResolved	$233	35¢	0.0¢	-$233
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Culture	NoResolved	$57	36¢	0.0¢	-$57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Politics	YesResolved	$7	6.7¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$67	37¢	0.0¢	-$67
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$13	33¢	0.0¢	-$13
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?Politics	NoResolved	$24	36¢	0.0¢	-$24
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$147	92¢	0.0¢	-$147
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Politics	NoResolved	$114	34¢	0.0¢	-$114
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Politics	NoResolved	$61	43¢	0.0¢	-$61
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$458	95¢	0.0¢	-$458
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?Politics	YesResolved	$3.7K	45¢	0.0¢	-$3.7K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$8.5K	81¢	0.0¢	-$8.5K
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$148	37¢	0.0¢	-$148
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$61	61¢	0.0¢	-$61
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$8.2K	60¢	0.0¢	-$8.2K
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$2	38¢	0.0¢	-$2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$3.1K	37¢	0.0¢	-$3.1K
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$167	66¢	0.0¢	-$167
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Politics	NoResolved	$522	49¢	0.0¢	-$522
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$27	69¢	0.0¢	-$27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$648	65¢	0.0¢	-$648
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Politics	YesResolved	$8.5K	67¢	0.0¢	-$8.5K
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Politics	NoResolved	$13	21¢	0.0¢	-$13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$53	88¢	0.0¢	-$53
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Culture	NoResolved	$195	97¢	0.0¢	-$195
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$593	35¢	0.0¢	-$593
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? Politics	YesResolved	$31	17¢	0.0¢	-$31

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$15K

Tech+$374

Mentions+$370

Finance+$254

Culture-$21

Economy+$8

World Cup+$3

Biggest hit

+$4.5K

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Toughest beat

-$2.3K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Recent moves

Bought Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 AND Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5) AND Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09? AND Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? AND Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-16?$350s ago
Bought Coventry City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score AND AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score AND RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score AND Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score AND FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5 AND Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16? AND Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-09-16?$4418m ago
Bought AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score AND Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score AND Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score AND Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? AND FC Barcelona leading at halftime?$19831m ago
Bought Szczecin: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thiago Monteiro AND Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-09-16? AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?$1.6K32m ago
Bought Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) AND Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? AND Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-16? AND Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-09-16?$24932m ago
Bought SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5 AND Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 2.5 AND Sunderland AFC vs. AZ: O/U 2.5 AND RSC Anderlecht vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5 AND MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5 AND Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-16? AND Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16? AND Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-16?$36748m ago
Bought Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 AND Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5 AND Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5 AND FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5 AND Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5 AND Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09? AND Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?$252m ago
Bought Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? AND Will Juventus FC vs. NEC end in a draw?$158m ago
Bought Szczecin: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thiago Monteiro AND Valencia: Maria Garcia Cid vs Yasmine Kabbaj AND Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Lloyd Harris$6541h ago
Bought Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers AND Sao Paulo Open: Whitney Osuigwe vs Kaitlin Quevedo$01h ago
Bought Counter-Strike: Just Players vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-16?$851h ago
Bought Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16?$521h ago