lightwardenp

Predicting since Feb 202631 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Politics	NoResolved	$15	76¢	100¢	+$5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Politics	NoResolved	$10	69¢	100¢	+$4
US recession by end of 2026?Economy	No	$10	72¢	88¢	+$2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Politics	NoResolved	$5	48¢	100¢	+$5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Politics	NoResolved	$5	59¢	100¢	+$3
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$5	26¢	27¢	+$0
Will PagerDuty (PD) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	NoResolved	$1	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	NoResolved	$1	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League	YesResolved	$1	15¢	0.0¢	-$1
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10?Finance	UpResolved	$10	47¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	NoResolved	$1	2.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	2.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	NoResolved	$1	12¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$7	24¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	NoResolved	$1	2.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League	YesResolved	$1	28¢	0.0¢	-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Politics	YesResolved	$2	12¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	NoResolved	$1	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?Finance	UpResolved	$1	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	NoResolved	$1	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League	YesResolved	$1	16¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Finance-$13

Champions League-$3

Politics+$2

Economy+$2

Biggest hit

+$4

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?

Toughest beat

-$8

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$23mo ago
Sold No · Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$74mo ago
Bought No · Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$154mo ago
Bought Up · S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?$14mo ago
Sold Yes · Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$34mo ago
Sold Down · Trump approval Up or Down this week?$74mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?$34mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$14mo ago
Bought Yes · Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$34mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$54mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$14mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$14mo ago