← Whale Watch

Flaner

Predicting since Oct 2024786 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $152K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $11K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$23K on Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$4.4K50¢80¢+$2.6K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4.4K50¢20¢-$2.6K
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81CryptoNo$14343¢89¢+$151
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?PoliticsNo$12632¢66¢+$132
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?PoliticsNo$9235¢96¢+$160
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$20570¢75¢+$13
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$9930¢65¢+$114
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?CryptoYes$18068¢77¢+$23
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$14973¢97¢+$49
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$14580¢94¢+$25
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$15690¢97¢+$13
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?CryptoNo$13166¢73¢+$14
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?NFLNo$10568¢91¢+$36
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?PoliticsYes$12748¢49¢+$2
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?TechNo$15446¢38¢-$29
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?CultureYes$9737¢43¢+$15
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?CultureNo$7878¢91¢+$13
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?EconomyNo$7979¢84¢+$5
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?CryptoNo$16680¢37¢-$89
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?TechNo$11265¢42¢-$41
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?CryptoNo$7178¢78¢-$0
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$6554¢51¢-$4
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?PoliticsYes$16972¢25¢-$111
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$19179¢24¢-$134
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?PoliticsYes$19938¢11¢-$143
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?TechNo$5959¢54¢-$6
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Other sportsYes$12556¢21¢-$79
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?PoliticsYes$4365¢69¢+$2
Rippling IPO before 2027?TechYes$5420¢15¢-$13
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYes$3820¢20¢+$0
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoYes$3522¢24¢+$3
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?TechYes$3417¢18¢+$2
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?PoliticsYes$17357¢12¢-$138
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?TechNo$4646¢34¢-$12
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?PoliticsNo$3290¢91¢+$0
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?CryptoYes$3720¢14¢-$10
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoYes$6843¢17¢-$42
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?PoliticsYes$4718¢9.5¢-$22
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1766¢78¢+$3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$2727¢21¢-$7
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoYes$2846¢34¢-$7
Celonis IPO before 2027?TechYes$6140¢13¢-$42
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$5021¢8.1¢-$31
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoYes$3879¢40¢-$19
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?TechNo$1052¢81¢+$5
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?TechNo$2216¢11¢-$7
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?PoliticsNo$136.0¢6.3¢+$1
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2036¢18¢-$10
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?CryptoNo$759¢65¢+$1
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechYes$1527¢10¢-$10
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?PoliticsYes$109.0¢4.5¢-$5
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?FinanceYes$1213¢4.5¢-$8
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$425¢23¢-$0
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?CryptoYes$47.9¢6.9¢-$1
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsYes$518¢12¢-$2
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?PoliticsNo$449¢30¢-$2
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81CryptoYes$630¢12¢-$4
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?PoliticsNo$877¢23¢-$6
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?PoliticsYes$4221¢1.0¢-$40
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?PoliticsYes$352¢34¢-$1
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?CultureNo$235¢26¢-$1
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsYes$337¢22¢-$1
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?PoliticsNo$1074¢9.5¢-$8
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?TechNoResolved$4020¢0.0¢-$40
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6324¢0.0¢-$63
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$8924¢0.0¢-$89
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$2743¢0.0¢-$27
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$9618¢0.0¢-$96
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2267¢0.0¢-$22
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$12928¢0.0¢-$129
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$11055¢0.0¢-$110
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$32837¢0.0¢-$328
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$6.7K19¢0.0¢-$6.7K
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?TechNoResolved$8945¢0.0¢-$89
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$602.0¢0.0¢-$60
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10418¢0.0¢-$104
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$2229¢0.0¢-$22
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?FinanceYesResolved$1215¢0.0¢-$12
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1717¢0.0¢-$17
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?FinanceYesResolved$3221¢0.0¢-$32
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$6839¢0.0¢-$68
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$3.6K63¢0.0¢-$3.6K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$152K
Crypto+$9.3K
Culture+$5.8K
Finance-$4.1K
Champions League-$3.7K
Other sports+$2.6K
Soccer (other)-$2.3K
Boxing+$1.2K
Other+$818
eSports+$637
Mentions+$557
Weather-$259
Biggest hit
+$23K
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Toughest beat
-$48K
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?$52h ago
  • Bought Yes · Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?$553d ago
  • Bought Yes · Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?$194d ago
  • Bought Yes · Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?$114d ago
  • Bought Yes · Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?$374d ago
  • MERGE Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.0K5d ago
  • SPLIT Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.7K5d ago