← Whale Watch

IceLightning

Predicting since Jan 20266,755 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $5.2K on Crypto markets since Jan 2026.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$310¢8.0¢-$1
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? PoliticsYes$421¢11¢-$2
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?PoliticsYes$418¢11¢-$1
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?TechYes$317¢14¢-$1
Glean IPO before 2027?TechYes$315¢9.0¢-$1
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?PoliticsYes$16.9¢7.5¢+$0
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?PoliticsYes$718¢3.4¢-$5
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$8222¢0.0¢-$82
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2143¢0.0¢-$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$6040¢0.0¢-$60
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$321¢0.0¢-$3
BNB Up or Down - July 5, 2AM ETCryptoUpResolved$693¢0.0¢-$6
XRP Up or Down - July 5, 3PM ETCryptoUpResolved$24.3¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2870¢0.0¢-$28
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2510.0¢0.0¢-$25
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$610¢0.0¢-$6
XRP Up or Down - July 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1647¢0.0¢-$16
Ethereum Up or Down on July 7?CryptoDownResolved$1848¢0.0¢-$18
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1324¢0.0¢-$13
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1538¢0.0¢-$15
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$214¢0.0¢-$2
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 11AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1229¢0.0¢-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$10259¢0.0¢-$102
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$011¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETCryptoDownResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$214¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$416¢0.0¢-$4
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$424¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETCryptoUpResolved$40456¢0.0¢-$404
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1240¢0.0¢-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2153¢0.0¢-$21
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1648¢0.0¢-$16
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$48.0¢0.0¢-$4
XRP Up or Down - July 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$314¢0.0¢-$3
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$39.8¢0.0¢-$3
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$245¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$37.5¢0.0¢-$3
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$625¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$7833¢0.0¢-$78
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$420¢0.0¢-$4
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 5AM ETCryptoUpResolved$613¢0.0¢-$6
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1148¢0.0¢-$11
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$413¢0.0¢-$4
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$318¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$3690¢0.0¢-$36
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2767¢0.0¢-$27
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$5063¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$14259¢0.0¢-$142
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1948¢0.0¢-$19
XRP Up or Down - July 6, 9AM ETCryptoDownResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$317¢0.0¢-$3
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 6, 5AM ETCryptoUpResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2713¢0.0¢-$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$27.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETCryptoDownResolved$3379¢0.0¢-$33
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$6857¢0.0¢-$68
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$3383¢0.0¢-$33
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$33361¢0.0¢-$333
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1859¢0.0¢-$18
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1620¢0.0¢-$16
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1115¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 2AM ETCryptoUpResolved$213¢0.0¢-$2
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$426¢0.0¢-$4
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$626¢0.0¢-$6
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$29.0¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$612¢0.0¢-$6
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$37.0¢0.0¢-$3
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 1PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1521¢0.0¢-$15
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2748¢0.0¢-$27
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$835¢0.0¢-$8
BNB Up or Down - July 5, 4PM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1024¢0.0¢-$10
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$332¢0.0¢-$3
XRP Up or Down - July 5, 5PM ETCryptoDownResolved$34.0¢0.0¢-$3
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
BNB Up or Down - July 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$5463¢0.0¢-$54
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1925¢0.0¢-$19
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - July 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$04.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1355¢0.0¢-$13
XRP Up or Down - July 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - July 5, 11PM ETCryptoUpResolved$513¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$5.2K
Politics-$17
Tech-$5
Weather-$4
Biggest hit
+$253
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Toughest beat
-$248
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$51d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$51d ago
  • Cashed out Down · BNB Up or Down on July 6?$38020d ago
  • Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6?$1.5K20d ago
  • Cashed out Up · Ethereum Up or Down on July 6?$17320d ago
  • Cashed out Down · Dogecoin Up or Down on July 6?$520d ago
  • Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$3020d ago
  • Bought Down · Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 12PM ET$620d ago
  • Bought Down · Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 12PM ET$720d ago
  • Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$31520d ago
  • Bought Down · Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$220d ago
  • Bought Down · Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$120d ago