← Whale Watch

Drunken-Mentat

Predicting since Jul 2025675 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $4.5K on Politics markets since Jul 2025.

Right now: $1.2K riding on Fed Decision in July?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31PoliticsNo$1.2K61¢69¢+$149
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1.2K79¢83¢+$64
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?TechNo$1.2K12¢12¢-$75
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1.0K65¢56¢-$151
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1.0K54¢42¢-$234
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$66673¢73¢-$5
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$60030¢32¢+$30
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?PoliticsNo$49064¢81¢+$130
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$60881¢80¢-$11
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$51855¢55¢-$1
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$30041¢69¢+$204
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$42585¢97¢+$62
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$57175¢63¢-$92
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$50472¢68¢-$32
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$37474¢79¢+$26
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$39779¢79¢-$2
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$35671¢76¢+$23
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$42871¢60¢-$66
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$18622¢42¢+$171
António Guterres out by December 31?PoliticsNo$27972¢77¢+$19
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?PoliticsNo$18338¢60¢+$102
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?PoliticsNo$15885¢100¢+$27
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?PoliticsNo$17684¢86¢+$4
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?PoliticsNo$14271¢82¢+$22
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsYes$13828¢28¢-$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$25082¢18¢-$194
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?PoliticsNo$4583¢99¢+$9
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?PoliticsNo$31178¢6.2¢-$286
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?WeatherNo$477¢58¢-$1
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$278¢99¢+$0
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$174¢98¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$4.5K
Weather-$1.4K
Mentions+$1.2K
Tech-$818
Culture-$504
Economy-$401
Crypto+$11
Finance+$11
Biggest hit
+$783
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?
Toughest beat
-$823
2025 September third hottest on record?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?$283h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2252d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$02d ago
  • Bought No · Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$492d ago
  • Bought No · Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$13d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$603d ago
  • Bought No · Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$13d ago
  • Bought No · Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$03d ago
  • Sold No · Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?$403d ago
  • Bought No · US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?$1243d ago
  • Bought No · US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?$123d ago
  • Bought No · US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?$23d ago