Drunken-Mentat

Predicting since Jul 2025702 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $7.6K on Politics markets since Jul 2025.

Right now: $2.1K riding on Fed Decision in October?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$2.1K	53¢	66¢	+$505
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy	Yes	$1.1K	52¢	81¢	+$577
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$856	82¢	87¢	+$52
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics	No	$850	77¢	79¢	+$14
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics	No	$576	61¢	91¢	+$283
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$880	18¢	14¢	-$155
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics	No	$490	64¢	92¢	+$206
New pandemic in 2026?Politics	No	$558	93¢	96¢	+$15
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics	No	$428	71¢	89¢	+$105
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026Politics	No	$465	93¢	100¢	+$35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics	No	$356	71¢	94¢	+$113
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$455	30¢	31¢	+$3
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$298	55¢	84¢	+$153
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics	No	$372	73¢	87¢	+$72
New pandemic before 2028?Other	No	$385	77¢	84¢	+$32
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics	No	$395	79¢	79¢	-$3
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$445	74¢	60¢	-$85
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics	No	$150	41¢	85¢	+$160
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?Politics	No	$263	86¢	99¢	+$40
António Guterres out by December 31?Politics	No	$279	72¢	75¢	+$10
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in September?Politics	No	$194	88¢	95¢	+$16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$174	35¢	41¢	+$29
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Economy	Yes	$677	53¢	16¢	-$477
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?Politics	No	$137	78¢	85¢	+$12
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Politics	No	$311	78¢	32¢	-$185
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$100	10¢	12¢	+$20
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics	No	$250	82¢	32¢	-$151
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$110	11¢	8.0¢	-$30
Will AI solve the Riemann Hypothesis in 2026?Tech	Yes	$90	9.0¢	6.5¢	-$25
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech	Yes	$34	13¢	14¢	+$1
GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?Tech	No	$26	16¢	17¢	+$1
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech	Yes	$31	10¢	5.0¢	-$16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	No	$2	22¢	80¢	+$5
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$2	49¢	99¢	+$3
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	No	$1	74¢	98¢	+$0
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather	No	$4	77¢	34¢	-$2
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Politics	No	$1	81¢	91¢	+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$7.6K

Tech-$4.1K

Weather-$1.6K

Mentions+$1.2K

Culture-$460

Economy-$392

Finance+$88

Crypto+$61

Other+$32

Biggest hit

+$783

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?

Toughest beat

-$1.1K

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?$01h ago
Cashed out No · Trump renames AI by September 30?$01h ago
Sold No · Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$55911h ago
Sold No · Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$18711h ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$162d ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$172d ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$172d ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$172d ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$172d ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$462d ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$1242d ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$12d ago