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Caelum-Galyon

Predicting since Jul 202588 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$526.6¢6.9¢+$3
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$305.8¢4.4¢-$7
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$3024¢0.0¢-$30
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1051.5¢0.0¢-$105
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World CupYesResolved$2058¢0.0¢-$20
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$401.6¢0.0¢-$40
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$155.2¢0.0¢-$15
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2011¢0.0¢-$20
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1215¢0.0¢-$12
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$3058¢0.0¢-$30
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in March 2026?FinanceYesResolved$2329¢0.0¢-$23
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3619¢0.0¢-$36
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$177.7¢0.0¢-$17
WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$1241¢0.0¢-$12
Solana Up or Down on August 16?CryptoDownResolved$840¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18?CryptoUpResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$407.4¢0.0¢-$40
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in April?FinanceYesResolved$558¢0.0¢-$5
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$70.2¢0.0¢-$7
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$100.2¢0.0¢-$10
Ethereum Up or Down on August 26?CryptoUpResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in April?FinanceYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?World CupYesResolved$1016¢0.0¢-$10
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsNoResolved$150.3¢0.0¢-$15
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in April?FinanceYesResolved$99.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$195.8¢0.0¢-$19
Ethereum Up or Down on August 25?CryptoUpResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?World CupYesResolved$1024¢0.0¢-$10
Ethereum Up or Down on August 28?CryptoUpResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?FinanceYesResolved$21.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$55.2¢0.0¢-$5
XRP Up or Down on August 20?CryptoUpResolved$628¢0.0¢-$6
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?FinanceYesResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down on August 22?CryptoDownResolved$329¢0.0¢-$3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?FinanceYesResolved$1022¢0.0¢-$10
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?World CupYesResolved$106.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?PoliticsNoResolved$385.0¢0.0¢-$38
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in April?FinanceYesResolved$177.4¢0.0¢-$17
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in April?FinanceYesResolved$1047¢0.0¢-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?FinanceYesResolved$913¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?CryptoUpResolved$332¢0.0¢-$3
Will France vs. England end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$2626¢0.0¢-$26
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$104.5¢0.0¢-$10
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?World CupYesResolved$106.0¢0.0¢-$10
XRP above $3.30 on August 15?CryptoYesResolved$615¢0.0¢-$6
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?FinanceYesResolved$1028¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$313
World Cup-$126
Finance-$95
Crypto+$4
Biggest hit
+$70
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Toughest beat
-$71
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$31d ago
  • Sold Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$71d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$177d ago
  • Sold Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$177d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will France vs. England end in a draw?$279d ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$109d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2110d ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$1010d ago
  • Bought Yes · Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?$510d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$10310d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1711d ago