← Whale Watch

kokosnasnehu

Predicting since Nov 2025140 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechNo$4169¢90¢+$13
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? CultureNo$4091¢95¢+$2
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$965¢66¢+$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechYes$1011¢9.5¢-$1
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1011¢8.5¢-$2
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?TechYes$214¢24¢+$1
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$22.6¢2.8¢+$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$314¢8.5¢-$1
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$213¢12¢-$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$11.2¢2.0¢+$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$26.8¢3.6¢-$1
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$13.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?TechYesResolved$1135¢0.0¢-$11
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnereSportsMOUZResolved$366¢0.0¢-$3
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$317¢0.0¢-$3
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?TechYesResolved$1314¢0.0¢-$13
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?TechYesResolved$48.0¢0.0¢-$4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnereSportsTeam FalconsResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?FinanceYesResolved$745¢0.0¢-$7
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)eSportsG2Resolved$46.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?CultureNoResolved$365¢0.0¢-$3
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?CultureYesResolved$310¢0.0¢-$3
Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?CultureYesResolved$50.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$12.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?FinanceYesResolved$414¢0.0¢-$4
Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?TechYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Team Falcons win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?eSportsYesResolved$1218¢0.0¢-$12
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?TechNoResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?TechYesResolved$286.8¢0.0¢-$28
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?TechYesResolved$413¢0.0¢-$4
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?CultureYesResolved$38.9¢0.0¢-$3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)eSportsTeam FalconsResolved$353¢0.0¢-$3
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?TechNoResolved$11.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?TechOpenAIResolved$12.9¢0.0¢-$1
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)eSportsTheMongolzResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$22.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?TechYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$15.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?TechYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)FinanceYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will FURIA win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?eSportsYesResolved$1032¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$223¢0.0¢-$2
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?TechNoResolved$2015¢0.0¢-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnereSportsMOUZResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?TechYesResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?TechYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)eSportsPassion UAResolved$03.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?TechYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffseSportsFURIAResolved$1429¢0.0¢-$14
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?TechYesResolved$48.8¢0.0¢-$4
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?CultureAvatarResolved$34.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$3746¢0.0¢-$37
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?TechYesResolved$08.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will 'Hades II' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Other sportsYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$312¢0.0¢-$3
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYesResolved$127.3¢0.0¢-$12
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?FinanceYesResolved$1445¢0.0¢-$14
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?TechNoResolved$66.9¢0.0¢-$6
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5eSportsOverResolved$554¢0.0¢-$5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnereSportsFURIAResolved$521¢0.0¢-$5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnereSportsTheMongolzResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?TechNoResolved$350¢0.0¢-$3
Will Hungary record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$617¢0.0¢-$6
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?TechNoResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$34.8¢0.0¢-$3
Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$23.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?FinanceYesResolved$3468¢0.0¢-$34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$714¢0.0¢-$7
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? CultureYesResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)eSportsMOUZResolved$220¢0.0¢-$2
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Alibaba have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?TechYesResolved$14.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?EconomyYesResolved$11.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?PoliticsNoResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5eSportsOverResolved$347¢0.0¢-$3
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?TechYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)eSportsTeam FalconsResolved$516¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

eSports+$63
Culture-$57
Finance-$52
Politics+$38
Crypto+$24
World Cup+$22
Economy-$14
Tech-$9
Olympics-$7
Other sports-$1
Biggest hit
+$60
GPT ads by March 31?
Toughest beat
-$64
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$256d ago