← Whale Watch

trademaster4000

Predicting since Jul 202442 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $14K on Politics markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $10K riding on Presidential Election Winner 2024.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$5.0K74¢21¢-$3.6K
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?TechNoResolved$237.0¢0.0¢-$23
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4014¢0.0¢-$40
Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?TechYesResolved$511¢0.0¢-$5
Will anyone say "Deep Research" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?MentionsNoResolved$523¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?MentionsYesResolved$2550¢0.0¢-$25
Red Sox vs. PadresMLBPadresResolved$10064¢0.0¢-$100
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNoResolved$10K42¢0.0¢-$10K
Miami vs. IndianaOther sportsMiamiResolved$1227¢0.0¢-$12
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?PoliticsYesResolved$1525¢0.0¢-$15
Will anyone say "GPT" 15+ times during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?MentionsNoResolved$157.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during conference with Putin on August 15?MentionsYesResolved$113.7¢0.0¢-$11
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?PoliticsYesResolved$1215¢0.0¢-$12
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?PoliticsNoResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will anyone say "OpenAI" 5+ times during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?MentionsNoResolved$1032¢0.0¢-$10
Will anyone say "Sam" or "Altman" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?MentionsNoResolved$511¢0.0¢-$5
Dodgers vs. PadresMLBDodgersResolved$29928¢0.0¢-$299
Will Trump say "Biden's war" during conference with Putin on August 15?MentionsYesResolved$9054¢0.0¢-$90

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$14K
MLB-$399
Tech-$93
Mentions-$57
Other sports-$12
Biggest hit
+$67
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?
Toughest beat
-$94
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$5.0K4mo ago
  • Bought Miami · Miami vs. Indiana$126mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$406mo ago
  • Bought No · Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$237mo ago
  • Bought Dodgers · Dodgers vs. Padres$29911mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?$511mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?$511mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?$511mo ago
  • Sold No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$28411mo ago
  • Bought No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$26511mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?$1911mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?$8711mo ago