GiarCo

Predicting since Dec 2024459 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$16	62¢	0.0¢	-$16
Will Elon and DOGE cut 100-150k employees in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$9	28¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will Elon and DOGE cut 150-200k employees in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$5	13¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?Culture	YesResolved	$2	31¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will December 2025 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?Weather	NoResolved	$2	14¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in December 2025?Weather	YesResolved	$3	12¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will A Minecraft Movie be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$10	40¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$3	6.8¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$5	32¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?Tech	YesResolved	$5	12¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?Tech	NoResolved	$15	74¢	0.0¢	-$15
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$6	15¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Elon and DOGE cut 50-100k employees in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$5	15¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$2	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$2

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$298

Culture+$105

Tech-$50

Weather-$29

Economy-$19

Champions League-$11

NBA-$11

La Liga-$7

Basketball (other)-$6

Mentions+$4

Premier League-$3

Formula 1+$2

Biggest hit

+$334

Megaquake before August?

Toughest beat

-$143

Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?

Sold Yes · Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?$56mo ago
Sold Yes · Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?$46mo ago
Sold Yes · Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$86mo ago
Sold Yes · Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$96mo ago
Sold Yes · Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?$66mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$176mo ago
Sold No · Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$356mo ago
Sold No · 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$456mo ago
Cashed out No · GPT ads by December 31?$06mo ago
Cashed out No · Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$06mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?$06mo ago
Cashed out Wicked · Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$06mo ago