← Whale Watch

defiwalker

Predicting since Oct 20252,781 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1717¢8.5¢-$9
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$178.3¢3.4¢-$10
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyYes$1428¢12¢-$8
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1469¢30¢-$8
Discord IPO before 2027?TechYes$462¢35¢-$2
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$611¢2.8¢-$4
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?NBAYesResolved$3366¢0.0¢-$33
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 8?WeatherNoResolved$8456¢0.0¢-$84
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?WeatherYesResolved$32.8¢0.0¢-$3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?FinanceYesResolved$105.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?FinanceYesResolved$8456¢0.0¢-$84
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5050¢0.0¢-$50
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 13?FinanceUpResolved$3049¢0.0¢-$30
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$83.8¢0.0¢-$8
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?FinanceNoResolved$2142¢0.0¢-$21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?FinanceYesResolved$16132¢0.0¢-$161
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$714¢0.0¢-$7
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 8?WeatherYesResolved$8859¢0.0¢-$88
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?PoliticsYesResolved$1531¢0.0¢-$15
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?NBAYesResolved$11.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$77.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?NBAYesResolved$23.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 14?WeatherNoResolved$20.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 14?WeatherYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Culture-$525
Crypto-$524
Finance-$433
Weather-$196
Tech-$150
Economy-$80
NBA-$70
Politics+$64
Mentions-$28
Champions League-$15
Soccer (other)+$3
World Cup-$1
Biggest hit
+$335
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Toughest beat
-$500
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?$71mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?$111mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$161mo ago
  • Sold No · Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?$141mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?$121mo ago
  • Sold No · Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$241mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$251mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$281mo ago
  • Sold No · Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?$431mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$381mo ago
  • Sold No · Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?$431mo ago
  • Sold No · Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$381mo ago