defiwalker

Predicting since Oct 20252,781 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $15K on Weather markets since Oct 2025.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

No PnL history available for this account.

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
US recession by end of 2026?Economy	Yes	$14	28¢	14¢	-$7
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather	Yes	$17	8.3¢	2.5¢	-$12
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy	Yes	$17	17¢	5.1¢	-$12
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Crypto	Yes	$14	69¢	5.9¢	-$13
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?NBA	YesResolved	$33	66¢	0.0¢	-$33
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 8?Weather	NoResolved	$84	56¢	0.0¢	-$84
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Weather	YesResolved	$3	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Finance	YesResolved	$10	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Finance	YesResolved	$84	56¢	0.0¢	-$84
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$15	15¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$50	50¢	0.0¢	-$50
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 13?Finance	UpResolved	$30	49¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$8	3.8¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?Finance	NoResolved	$21	42¢	0.0¢	-$21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Finance	YesResolved	$161	32¢	0.0¢	-$161
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Finance	YesResolved	$7	14¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 8?Weather	YesResolved	$88	59¢	0.0¢	-$88
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Politics	YesResolved	$16	31¢	0.0¢	-$16
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?NBA	YesResolved	$1	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$7	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?NBA	YesResolved	$2	3.2¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 14?Weather	NoResolved	$2	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 14?Weather	YesResolved	$1	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Weather+$15K

Crypto-$4.8K

Basketball (other)+$1.1K

Finance+$1.0K

Culture-$525

Mentions-$175

Tennis-$171

Tech-$134

Politics-$95

NBA-$91

Economy-$81

Soccer (other)+$45

Biggest hit

+$351

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 2?

Toughest beat

-$2.9K

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on February 28?

Recent moves

Sold No · Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?$73mo ago
Sold Yes · Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?$113mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$163mo ago
Sold No · Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?$143mo ago
Sold Yes · Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?$123mo ago
Sold No · Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$243mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$253mo ago
Sold No · Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$283mo ago
Sold No · Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?$433mo ago
Sold Yes · Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$383mo ago
Sold No · Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?$433mo ago
Sold No · Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$383mo ago