aljarreau

Predicting since Sep 202641 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by September 30?Politics	No	$83	86¢	92¢	+$5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$50	14¢	17¢	+$10
JD Vance Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?Politics	Yes	$60	96¢	96¢	-$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$50	89¢	95¢	+$3
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Politics	No	$56	83¢	78¢	-$3
Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Politics	No	$50	86¢	86¢	-$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics	No	$50	82¢	80¢	-$1
Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics	Yes	$39	62¢	67¢	+$3
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Politics	Yes	$35	70¢	70¢	-$0
Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Politics	Yes	$30	53¢	49¢	-$2
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics	No	$24	39¢	40¢	+$0
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Politics	Yes	$25	79¢	77¢	-$0
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Politics	Yes	$20	74¢	79¢	+$1
Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Politics	Yes	$15	17¢	21¢	+$4
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?Politics	No	$20	60¢	52¢	-$3
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$20	1.0¢	0.9¢	-$3
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$16	21¢	21¢	-$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$15	29¢	30¢	+$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics	No	$15	43¢	42¢	-$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$15	13¢	11¢	-$2
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Politics	Yes	$10	35¢	36¢	+$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$10	8.0¢	8.0¢	+$0
Will Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$10	37¢	35¢	-$1
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$10	0.8¢	0.8¢	-$1
Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?Politics	Yes	$10	29¢	24¢	-$2
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics	No	$8	62¢	61¢	-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	Yes	$7	24¢	24¢	-$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$7	13¢	14¢	+$0
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" this week?Mentions	No	$4	8.0¢	11¢	+$2
Will Abdul El-Sayed underperform Kamala in Michigan?Politics	Yes	$10	51¢	28¢	-$5
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$5	2.9¢	2.9¢	-$0
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Economy	No change	$5	27¢	27¢	-$0
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$4	0.3¢	0.3¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$3

Mentions+$2

Economy-$0

Biggest hit

+$10

Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?

Toughest beat

-$7

Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Recent moves

Bought No · Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?$612m ago
Sold Yes · Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 2?$61h ago
Bought Yes · Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?$253h ago
Sold Yes · Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$243h ago
Bought No · Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by September 30?$3318h ago
Bought No · Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" this week?$422h ago
Sold No · Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?$281d ago
Sold Bolsonaro · Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 3?$101d ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?$391d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?$151d ago
Bought Yes · Will Abdul El-Sayed underperform Kamala in Michigan?$101d ago
Bought No · Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?$501d ago