← Whale Watch

elmana

Predicting since Mar 2026497 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.2K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?PoliticsNoResolved$7074¢100¢+$24
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1820¢100¢+$69
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$821¢100¢+$30
Will Scottish Green Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?PoliticsNoResolved$31100¢100¢+$0
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2273¢100¢+$8
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?CryptoNoResolved$29100¢100¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi in April 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2899¢100¢+$0
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 0.3%?EconomyNoResolved$2595¢100¢+$1
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$2699¢100¢+$0
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 15%?PoliticsNoResolved$1989¢100¢+$2
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?TechYes$2626¢20¢-$6
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechNoResolved$1993¢100¢+$1
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureNo$1323¢34¢+$6
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?Soccer (other)NoResolved$1473¢100¢+$5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$5457¢20¢-$35
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1691¢100¢+$2
Will Hugo Pierre win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$17100¢100¢+$0
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in April?FinanceNoResolved$1695¢100¢+$1
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?PoliticsNoResolved$1385¢100¢+$2
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in April 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$14100¢100¢+$0
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$13100¢100¢+$0
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1396¢100¢+$0
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1072¢89¢+$2
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on April 20?CryptoNoResolved$12100¢100¢+$0
Will Juliano Floss win Big Brother Brasil 26?CultureNoResolved$1199¢100¢+$0
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$281.2¢0.4¢-$17
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$848¢63¢+$2
Will Lewis Shupe be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?PoliticsNoResolved$10100¢100¢+$0
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?TechYes$1724¢11¢-$9
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$256¢100¢+$1
Stripe IPO before 2027?TechYes$1615¢2.9¢-$13
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechYes$831¢10¢-$6
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$268¢100¢+$1
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?TechYesResolved$141¢100¢+$1
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$1548¢5.5¢-$13
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?TechYesResolved$14.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$55.2¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?PoliticsYesResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1818¢0.0¢-$18
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?WeatherYesResolved$1746¢0.0¢-$17
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 4?CultureNoResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 31, 2026?WeatherNoResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$028¢0.0¢-$0
Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?CryptoYesResolved$23.3¢0.0¢-$2
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$433¢0.0¢-$4
Will Tundra Esports win ESL One Birmingham 2026?eSportsNoResolved$5867¢0.0¢-$58
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$1029¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2222¢0.0¢-$22
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?CryptoYesResolved$3339¢0.0¢-$33
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$1717¢0.0¢-$17
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1734¢0.0¢-$17
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?PoliticsYesResolved$33.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-12?Soccer (other)YesResolved$642¢0.0¢-$6
Will Mario Vizcarra finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$48.6¢0.0¢-$4
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?PoliticsYesResolved$34.0¢0.0¢-$3
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?CryptoYesResolved$3590¢0.0¢-$35
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$55.2¢0.0¢-$5
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1357¢0.0¢-$13
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1118¢0.0¢-$11
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?CultureYesResolved$237¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$44.7¢0.0¢-$4
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$4358¢0.0¢-$43
Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2928¢0.0¢-$29
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2116¢0.0¢-$21
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$320¢0.0¢-$3
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?CultureNoResolved$22.7¢0.0¢-$2
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$87.7¢0.0¢-$8
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$319¢0.0¢-$3
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi KingsCricketLahore QalandarsResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?PoliticsNoResolved$1173¢0.0¢-$11
Will Alfonso López Chau finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1117¢0.0¢-$11
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?CultureNoResolved$1127¢0.0¢-$11
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$55.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$812¢0.0¢-$8
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?TechYesResolved$523¢0.0¢-$5
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureNoResolved$3836¢0.0¢-$38
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?TechYesResolved$88.7¢0.0¢-$8
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?PoliticsYesResolved$1616¢0.0¢-$16
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?PoliticsYesResolved$1615¢0.0¢-$16
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3737¢0.0¢-$37
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?PoliticsYesResolved$358¢0.0¢-$3
Will "Age of Attraction: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?OtherYesResolved$45.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will Vladimir Cerrón finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$527¢0.0¢-$5
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1211¢0.0¢-$12
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?CultureNoResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6057¢0.0¢-$60
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$018¢0.0¢-$0
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?CultureYesResolved$79.8¢0.0¢-$7
Will fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4555¢0.0¢-$45
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$57.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2033¢0.0¢-$20
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$518¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.2K
Tech-$357
Culture-$251
Weather-$139
Crypto-$96
Mentions-$74
Economy+$62
eSports-$57
Cricket-$46
Formula 1-$34
Tennis+$33
Basketball (other)-$19
Biggest hit
+$77
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$90
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?