DistortedReality

Predicting since Dec 2025407 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $8.8K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $1.7K riding on Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?.

Biggest hit: +$2.5K on US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$240	15¢	0.0¢	-$240
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$50	3.7¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Ghazl El Mahalla SC win on 2026-08-27?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$22	25¢	0.0¢	-$22
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$48	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$48
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Politics	YesResolved	$4	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$4
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?Politics	YesResolved	$58	7.6¢	0.0¢	-$58
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA	Conor McGregorResolved	$522	30¢	0.0¢	-$522
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Politics	YesResolved	$121	12¢	0.0¢	-$121
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5World Cup	UnderResolved	$30	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$30
No one announced as next James Bond?Culture	NoResolved	$0	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?World Cup	YesResolved	$10	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics	NoResolved	$34	34¢	0.0¢	-$34
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1.7K	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$1.7K
Exact Score: England 0 - 3 DR Congo?World Cup	YesResolved	$15	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$15
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?World Cup	YesResolved	$30	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$30
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 DR Congo?World Cup	YesResolved	$15	5.1¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?World Cup	YesResolved	$97	13¢	0.0¢	-$97
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World Cup	NoResolved	$32	3.8¢	0.0¢	-$32
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$93	6.3¢	0.0¢	-$93
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?World Cup	YesResolved	$27	13¢	0.0¢	-$27
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World Cup	NoResolved	$4	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$8.8K

Crypto+$1.4K

World Cup-$778

Tech-$700

Mentions+$648

Cricket-$634

Champions League+$567

eSports-$332

Boxing+$312

Culture-$287

NBA-$203

Weather-$165

Biggest hit

+$2.5K

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Toughest beat

-$2.8K

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Recent moves

Cashed out Yes · Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?$011d ago
Bought Yes · Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?$011d ago
Bought Yes · Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?$1813d ago
Bought Yes · Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?$3213d ago
Bought Yes · Will Ghazl El Mahalla SC win on 2026-08-27?$2216d ago
Sold Yes · Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 60 minutes long?$016d ago
Sold No · Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long?$316d ago
Sold Yes · Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?$816d ago
Bought No · Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long?$316d ago
Bought Yes · Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?$616d ago
Bought Yes · Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?$6618d ago
Sold No · US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?$6718d ago