← Whale Watch

DistortedReality

Predicting since Dec 2025401 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $9.0K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $1.7K riding on Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?.

Biggest hit: +$2.5K on US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$24015¢0.0¢-$240
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$503.7¢0.0¢-$50
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$480.4¢0.0¢-$48
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$40.4¢0.0¢-$4
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?PoliticsYesResolved$587.6¢0.0¢-$58
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAConor McGregorResolved$52230¢0.0¢-$522
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$12112¢0.0¢-$121
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$307.0¢0.0¢-$30
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureNoResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?World CupYesResolved$107.0¢0.0¢-$10
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$3434¢0.0¢-$34
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.7K10.0¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Exact Score: England 0 - 3 DR Congo?World CupYesResolved$151.0¢0.0¢-$15
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$307.0¢0.0¢-$30
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 DR Congo?World CupYesResolved$155.1¢0.0¢-$15
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?World CupYesResolved$9713¢0.0¢-$97
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupNoResolved$323.8¢0.0¢-$32
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$936.3¢0.0¢-$93
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?World CupYesResolved$2713¢0.0¢-$27
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupNoResolved$40.7¢0.0¢-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$9.0K
Crypto+$1.4K
World Cup-$778
Tech-$700
Mentions+$648
Cricket-$634
Champions League+$567
eSports-$332
Boxing+$312
Culture-$267
NBA-$203
Weather-$165
Biggest hit
+$2.5K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Toughest beat
-$2.8K
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$14413h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1041d ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$451d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$33d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$03d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$293d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$113d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$33d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$226d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$4066d ago
  • Bought No · China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$36d ago
  • Bought No · China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$26d ago