polycarp

Predicting since Oct 2022145 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	38¢	100¢	+$2
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	26¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	19¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	6.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?Politics	YesResolved	$1	16¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Fetterman out in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$5	15¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$2	17¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	9.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?Politics	YesResolved	$5	14¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?Politics	YesResolved	$2	65¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$2	21¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$2	20¢	0.0¢	-$2
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	24¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	49¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	10¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Starmer out in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$4	17¢	0.0¢	-$4
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?Politics	YesResolved	$1	39¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$3	19¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$2	17¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Other-$116

Politics-$34

Olympics-$11

Weather-$7

Tech-$3

Crypto-$2

UFC / MMA-$1

Finance-$1

Biggest hit

+$22

Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?

Toughest beat

-$10

Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?$69mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$19mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$19mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$19mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$19mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$29mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$09mo ago
Bought Yes · Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$19mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?$19mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?$11y ago
Bought Yes · Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration in 2025?$11y ago
Bought Yes · Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?$11y ago