← Whale Watch

holdingyourbag

Predicting since Mar 2025131 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $8.5K on Politics markets since Mar 2025.

Right now: $528 across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$8.6K on Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$25023¢13¢-$109
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoYes$1454.1¢2.6¢-$53
Will the Democratic Party win 13 upper-level local government races?PoliticsYesResolved$24926¢0.0¢-$249
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election by less than 10%?PoliticsYesResolved$54.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3216¢0.0¢-$32
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$453.2¢0.0¢-$45
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$9132¢0.0¢-$91
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5117¢0.0¢-$51
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$2047¢0.0¢-$20
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfWorld CupYesResolved$2121¢0.0¢-$21
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$40.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?PoliticsYesResolved$345.1¢0.0¢-$34
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$3030¢0.0¢-$30
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?CultureYesResolved$481.1¢0.0¢-$48
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ assistsWorld CupYesResolved$26.0¢0.0¢-$2
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3033¢0.0¢-$30
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPoliticsYesResolved$1927.5¢0.0¢-$192
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?PoliticsYesResolved$464.0¢0.0¢-$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2018¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1928¢0.0¢-$19
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$1032¢0.0¢-$10
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$8736¢0.0¢-$87
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World CupYesResolved$1221¢0.0¢-$12
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$188.4¢0.0¢-$18
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$46.4¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2727¢0.0¢-$27
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?TechYesResolved$524.3¢0.0¢-$52
Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsWorld CupYesResolved$1313¢0.0¢-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1138¢0.0¢-$11
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?PoliticsYesResolved$1361.7¢0.0¢-$136
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$1258¢0.0¢-$12
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$9939¢0.0¢-$99
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfWorld CupYesResolved$2410¢0.0¢-$24
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$1231¢0.0¢-$12
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$7739¢0.0¢-$77
Spread: Spain (-1.5)World CupSpainResolved$4530¢0.0¢-$45
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by between 10% and 20%?PoliticsYesResolved$143.5¢0.0¢-$14
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?PoliticsYesResolved$674.6¢0.0¢-$67
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4623¢0.0¢-$46
Jude Bellingham: 3+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$383.8¢0.0¢-$38
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$1845¢0.0¢-$18
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?TechYesResolved$728.0¢0.0¢-$72
Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsWorld CupYesResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5World CupOverResolved$136.5¢0.0¢-$13
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?CultureYesResolved$150.7¢0.0¢-$15
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5World CupOverResolved$2323¢0.0¢-$23
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?World CupYesResolved$536.9¢0.0¢-$53
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$4860¢0.0¢-$48
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$277.9¢0.0¢-$27
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$44.0¢0.0¢-$4
France vs. England: France O/U 5.5 CornersWorld CupOverResolved$2049¢0.0¢-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?World CupYesResolved$5217¢0.0¢-$52
Will England win on 2026-07-15?World CupYesResolved$838¢0.0¢-$8
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?CryptoYesResolved$123.1¢0.0¢-$12
Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5World CupOverResolved$1012¢0.0¢-$10
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?CultureYesResolved$231.3¢0.0¢-$23
US forces enter Iran by March 14?PoliticsYesResolved$909.0¢0.0¢-$90
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPoliticsNoResolved$33647¢0.0¢-$336
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$4027¢0.0¢-$40
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16?FinanceUpResolved$2236¢0.0¢-$22
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$14938¢0.0¢-$149
Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?CultureYesResolved$60.5¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$3010.0¢0.0¢-$30
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?World CupYesResolved$12851¢0.0¢-$128
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?PoliticsNoResolved$1325¢0.0¢-$13
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?World CupYesResolved$12624¢0.0¢-$126
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?World CupNoResolved$34144¢0.0¢-$341
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETCryptoUpResolved$5612¢0.0¢-$56
France vs. England: France O/U 4.5 CornersWorld CupOverResolved$2666¢0.0¢-$26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 16?WeatherYesResolved$6622¢0.0¢-$66
Will England win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$5442¢0.0¢-$54
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5World CupOverResolved$124.2¢0.0¢-$12
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupEnglandResolved$1156¢0.0¢-$11
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$130.7¢0.0¢-$13
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1333¢0.0¢-$13
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5World CupOverResolved$2032¢0.0¢-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$8442¢0.0¢-$84
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1332¢0.0¢-$13
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?PoliticsYesResolved$363.8¢0.0¢-$36

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$8.5K
Crypto+$586
World Cup-$290
Tech-$124
Culture-$92
Weather+$42
Finance-$22
Biggest hit
+$8.6K
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Toughest beat
-$64
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$843d ago
  • Cashed out Over · France vs. England: England O/U 3.5 Corners$337d ago
  • Cashed out Over · France vs. England: O/U 3.5$1007d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$1007d ago
  • Bought Over · France vs. England: France O/U 5.5 Corners$17d ago
  • Bought Over · France vs. England: France O/U 5.5 Corners$37d ago
  • Bought Over · France vs. England: France O/U 5.5 Corners$157d ago
  • Bought Over · France vs. England: France O/U 4.5 Corners$37d ago
  • Bought Over · France vs. England: France O/U 4.5 Corners$237d ago
  • Sold Yes · Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals$107d ago
  • Bought Yes · France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$417d ago
  • Bought Over · France vs. England: England O/U 3.5 Corners$187d ago