stephansmith2004

Predicting since Mar 202667 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $7.6K riding on Presidential Election Winner 2028.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$7.6K	0.9¢	0.9¢	-$42
Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?Politics	Yes	$150	80¢	90¢	+$18
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?Politics	Yes	$140	30¢	33¢	+$12
Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Politics	No	$112	90¢	96¢	+$8
Will the New Hampshire 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Politics	No	$105	81¢	84¢	+$5
Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat?Politics	Yes	$93	76¢	89¢	+$16
Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Politics	No	$99	90¢	93¢	+$3
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?Politics	Yes	$20	18¢	89¢	+$78
Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$96	15¢	14¢	-$4
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$78	12¢	12¢	+$3
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?Politics	Yes	$60	46¢	59¢	+$17
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics	No	$61	76¢	77¢	+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-02 House seat?Politics	Yes	$50	78¢	88¢	+$6
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics	No	$28	86¢	86¢	-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?Politics	Yes	$20	59¢	63¢	+$1
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%?Politics	Yes	$12	19¢	24¢	+$3
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics	Yes	$14	10¢	7.0¢	-$4
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$15	15¢	9.5¢	-$6
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$3	9.7¢	12¢	+$1
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics	Yes	$3	10¢	12¢	+$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics	No	$2	34¢	34¢	-$0
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?Politics	NoResolved	$4	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?Politics	YesResolved	$30	40¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?Politics	YesResolved	$10	10¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by 15–20%?Politics	YesResolved	$3	8.6¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics	YesResolved	$2	3.3¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$65

Biggest hit

+$426

Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?

Toughest beat

-$424

Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$12h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$12h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$22h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$12h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$115h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$415h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$601d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$481d ago
Bought No · Will the New Hampshire 2026 Senate race be within 1%?$571d ago
Bought No · Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 1%?$901d ago
Cashed out No · Will Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by 30–35%?$311d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by 25–30%?$1001d ago