lukas11

Predicting since Nov 2024537 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $7.0K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $918 riding on US military action against Cuba by...?.

Biggest hit: +$2.6K on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

No PnL history available for this account.

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics	No	$918	57¢	86¢	+$470
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics	No	$538	38¢	86¢	+$659
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$638	50¢	85¢	+$435
Will Gracinha Caiado win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?Politics	Yes	$836	74¢	84¢	+$102
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics	No	$573	69¢	76¢	+$53
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?Tech	No	$504	65¢	67¢	+$9
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Politics	Yes	$531	77¢	73¢	-$31
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics	Yes	$575	68¢	59¢	-$77
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics	No	$495	77¢	76¢	-$11
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Politics	No	$402	72¢	86¢	+$72
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics	No	$282	53¢	85¢	+$174
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?Politics	No	$301	66¢	96¢	+$134
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?Politics	Yes	$415	64¢	61¢	-$18
Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?Politics	Yes	$283	69¢	74¢	+$21
Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Politics	Yes	$270	59¢	59¢	-$3
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Politics	Yes	$215	73¢	89¢	+$44
Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?Politics	Yes	$86	20¢	41¢	+$89
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Tech	No	$173	79¢	77¢	-$3
Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?Politics	Yes	$163	70¢	69¢	-$1
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?Politics	No	$130	77¢	88¢	+$19
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Tech	No	$74	79¢	88¢	+$8
Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Politics	Yes	$55	31¢	40¢	+$16
Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?Politics	Yes	$42	47¢	51¢	+$4
Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Politics	No	$34	55¢	66¢	+$7
Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Politics	Yes	$21	53¢	35¢	-$7
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics	Yes	$6	47¢	42¢	-$1
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?La Liga	NoResolved	$45	47¢	0.0¢	-$45
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-05?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$43	35¢	0.0¢	-$43
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$5	62¢	0.0¢	-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$7.0K

World Cup-$3.0K

Culture+$1.6K

Tech+$1.1K

Crypto+$882

Champions League-$714

Economy+$588

Finance+$570

La Liga+$333

Premier League-$319

Other sports+$136

Olympics-$46

Biggest hit

+$2.6K

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Toughest beat

-$1.6K

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Recent moves

Bought No · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$11d ago
Bought No · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$2021d ago
Sold Yes · Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2211d ago
Sold No · Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$82d ago
Sold No · Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$164d ago
Sold No · Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$1134d ago
Sold No · Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$3384d ago
Sold No · Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$254d ago
Bought No · Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?$136d ago
Bought No · Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?$226d ago
Bought No · Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?$466d ago
Bought Yes · Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?$116d ago