 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy | Yes | $7 | 10.0¢ | 7.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $1 | 0.8¢ | 2.6¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $1 | 1.1¢ | 3.3¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.5¢ | 0.7¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $1 | 0.9¢ | 1.4¢ | +$1 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | No | $1 | 3.6¢ | 5.1¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?Economy | No | $1 | 5.9¢ | 8.0¢ | +$0 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?World Cup | NoResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | NoResolved | $3 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?Economy | NoResolved | $3 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | ArgentinaResolved | $1 | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 19?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?Economy | NoResolved | $2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?Economy | NoResolved | $2 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?Economy | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $780b and $800b on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Sold Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$26d ago