Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics | No | $140 | 10.0¢ | 4.0¢ | -$84 |
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $143 | 24¢ | 6.6¢ | -$104 |
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $146 | 37¢ | 5.0¢ | -$126 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $40 | 12¢ | 4.8¢ | -$24 |
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 18¢ | 2.7¢ | -$42 |
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?NFL | YesResolved | $10 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will "Million" or "Billion" be said 10+ times during the World Cup Draw on December 5?Other sports | NoResolved | $20 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Bryan Johnson say "Don’t Die" while tripping balls?Mentions | NoResolved | $25 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Trump say "Ballroom" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?Mentions | YesResolved | $40 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?MLB | YesResolved | $10 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech | YesResolved | $117 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$117 |
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
"Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?Culture | YesResolved | $40 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $40 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Trump say "Australia" while addressing the nation on December 17?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Trump say "JD" or "Vance" while addressing the nation on December 17?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $80 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Boxing | YesResolved | $20 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump say "Honey" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $40 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $40 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Ecuador vs. Argentina end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $6 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $450 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$450 |
| Will "World Cup" be said 60+ times during the World Cup Draw on December 5?Other sports | NoResolved | $40 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on November 10 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $355 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$355 |
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Trump say "Green New Scam" while addressing the nation on December 17?Mentions | YesResolved | $40 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Bryan Johnson say "Polymarket" while tripping balls?Mentions | NoResolved | $10 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Kamala Harris say "Charlie" or "Kirk" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $100 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $40 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Cup?NBA | YesResolved | $40 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?Culture | NoResolved | $20 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $20 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $360 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$360 |
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for between 10 and 15 seconds on November 10 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump say "Eight War" or "Eighth War" while addressing the nation on December 17?Mentions | NoResolved | $20 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesNBA | TimberwolvesResolved | $11 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?Culture | NoResolved | $40 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will "Trump" be said 3+ times during the World Cup Draw on December 5?Other sports | NoResolved | $20 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?Finance | DownResolved | $57 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $40 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $60 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | NoResolved | $60 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" while addressing the nation on December 17?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Colombia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $20 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?MLB | YesResolved | $10 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $60 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Trump say "Hottest" while addressing the nation on December 17?Mentions | NoResolved | $20 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?Mentions | NoResolved | $5 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?NFL | YesResolved | $146 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$146 |
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on November 21 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Trump say "Rare Earth" during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $40 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $40 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $130 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?Premier League | YesResolved | $40 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Kamala Harris say "Epstein" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Politics | NoResolved | $25 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $40 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |