← Whale Watch

IV7

Predicting since Oct 2024521 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.2K on Economy markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $1.0K riding on Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms.

Biggest hit: +$1.8K on Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$1.0K40¢41¢+$25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$5926¢20¢-$15
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World CupYesResolved$2857¢0.0¢-$28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2738¢0.0¢-$27
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$13941¢0.0¢-$139
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?MentionsNoResolved$1530¢0.0¢-$15
Rockies vs. GuardiansMLBGuardiansResolved$55271¢0.0¢-$552
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$72433¢0.0¢-$724
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2738¢0.0¢-$27
Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?PoliticsYesResolved$17429¢0.0¢-$174
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?PoliticsNoResolved$6022¢0.0¢-$60
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?PoliticsYesResolved$1111¢0.0¢-$11
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?PoliticsYesResolved$444¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$979.1¢0.0¢-$97
Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Spanberger?PoliticsSpanbergerResolved$714¢0.0¢-$7
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$19319¢0.0¢-$193
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?PoliticsNoResolved$3445¢0.0¢-$34
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?MentionsYesResolved$10988¢0.0¢-$109
Will Trump say "FBI" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?MentionsYesResolved$8349¢0.0¢-$83
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?NFLYesResolved$2727¢0.0¢-$27
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in November?EconomyYesResolved$15932¢0.0¢-$159
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in September?EconomyYesResolved$919¢0.0¢-$9
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$3232¢0.0¢-$32
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$8744¢0.0¢-$87
Will Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address?MentionsYesResolved$1471¢0.0¢-$14
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?OtherYesResolved$883¢0.0¢-$8
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?MentionsYesResolved$1624¢0.0¢-$16
Will Powell say "Uncertainty" 7+ times during July Press Conference?MentionsYesResolved$6666¢0.0¢-$66
Blue Jays vs. OriolesMLBBlue JaysResolved$10354¢0.0¢-$103
Will two people dissent the September Fed decision?PoliticsYesResolved$12530¢0.0¢-$125
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?EconomyYesResolved$3926¢0.0¢-$39
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?EconomyYesResolved$3543¢0.0¢-$35
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$3131¢0.0¢-$31
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?World CupYesResolved$2525¢0.0¢-$25
Pirates vs. GiantsMLBGiantsResolved$53552¢0.0¢-$535
Seahawks vs. PatriotsNFLPatriotsResolved$4832¢0.0¢-$48
Pirates vs. GiantsMLBGiantsResolved$10561¢0.0¢-$105
Marlins vs. CardinalsMLBCardinalsResolved$39757¢0.0¢-$397
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2727¢0.0¢-$27
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?PoliticsYesResolved$29571¢0.0¢-$295
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?NFLNoResolved$4943¢0.0¢-$49
Cubs vs. BrewersMLBBrewersResolved$54054¢0.0¢-$540
Tigers vs. PiratesMLBTigersResolved$3357¢0.0¢-$33
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in November?EconomyYesResolved$154.8¢0.0¢-$15
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)NBALakersResolved$466¢0.0¢-$4
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in September?EconomyYesResolved$13020¢0.0¢-$130
Braves vs. RedsMLBRedsResolved$94661¢0.0¢-$946
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?MentionsNoResolved$1125¢0.0¢-$11
Will Citizens Financial Group (CFG) beat quarterly earnings?EconomyNoResolved$2544¢0.0¢-$25
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during his AI speech on July 23?MentionsNoResolved$2046¢0.0¢-$20
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?EconomyYesResolved$7640¢0.0¢-$76
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?PoliticsYesResolved$7856¢0.0¢-$78
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$66931¢0.0¢-$669
Will Powell say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?MentionsYesResolved$2727¢0.0¢-$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$6030¢0.0¢-$60
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAPimblettResolved$5870¢0.0¢-$58
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMALewisResolved$1616¢0.0¢-$16
Nationals vs. TwinsMLBTwinsResolved$28760¢0.0¢-$287
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$9927¢0.0¢-$99
Will Bernie Sanders say "Corruption" during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?MentionsYesResolved$2023¢0.0¢-$20
10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?EconomyNoResolved$1745¢0.0¢-$17
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his AI speech on July 23?MentionsYesResolved$2142¢0.0¢-$21
Will all of Trump's children attend the State of the Union?PoliticsNoResolved$3449¢0.0¢-$34
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5World CupOverResolved$2549¢0.0¢-$25
Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?MentionsYesResolved$7449¢0.0¢-$74
Will American Airlines Group (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?EconomyNoResolved$13233¢0.0¢-$132
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by between 6% and 9.00%?PoliticsYesResolved$3722¢0.0¢-$37
Will Trump say "Butler" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?MentionsYesResolved$10145¢0.0¢-$101
Thunder vs. LakersNBALakersResolved$1717¢0.0¢-$17
Blue Jays vs. OriolesMLBOriolesResolved$63978¢0.0¢-$639
Illinois vs. IndianaOther sportsIllinoisResolved$38829¢0.0¢-$388
Will Trump say "Kevin Warsh" during the State of the Union address?MentionsYesResolved$2141¢0.0¢-$21

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Economy+$2.2K
World Cup+$2.0K
Politics-$873
Champions League+$543
Other sports-$427
MLB-$380
Mentions-$330
Crypto-$244
NBA-$166
Other-$153
Formula 1+$130
Boxing-$124
Biggest hit
+$1.8K
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Toughest beat
-$873
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$114d ago
  • Bought Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$124d ago
  • Bought Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$65d ago
  • Bought Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$35d ago
  • Bought Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$65d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will John Healey be in the Burnham cabinet?$105d ago
  • Bought Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$36d ago
  • Bought Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$76d ago
  • Bought Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$96d ago
  • Bought Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$86d ago
  • Bought Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$76d ago
  • Bought Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$66d ago