 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$16 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17?Crypto | DownResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $40 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Astronomer Divorce ParlayCulture | YesResolved | $12 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?Boxing | NoResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $12 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Harry Kane: 3+ goalsWorld Cup | YesResolved | $25 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will WLD hit $1.3 by December 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. ChimaevUFC / MMA | Du PlessisResolved | $68 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $45 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $12 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Gavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will anyone say "Gemini" during the Q2 2025 Google earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" score at least 89 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Texas Tech win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Basketball (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberPolitics | NoResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $12 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Monday?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Sold Yes · Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$26mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$18mo ago