8396239287

Predicting since Mar 2024343 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.5K on Tech markets since Mar 2024.

Right now: $14K riding on Which company has the best AI model end of February?.

Biggest hit: +$5.3K on Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$1.7K	56¢	100¢	+$1.3K
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Tech	No	$291	71¢	82¢	+$45
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?Politics	NoResolved	$4	77¢	100¢	+$1
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$228	49¢	0.0¢	-$228
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$164	24¢	0.0¢	-$164
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$150	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$150
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Tech	NoResolved	$90	26¢	0.0¢	-$90
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$2	6.5¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$2.8K	85¢	0.0¢	-$2.8K
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$348	79¢	0.0¢	-$348
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Tech	YesResolved	$16	16¢	0.0¢	-$16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$14K	95¢	0.0¢	-$14K
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$1.9K	64¢	0.0¢	-$1.9K
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$196	52¢	0.0¢	-$196
Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$0	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech	YesResolved	$524	32¢	0.0¢	-$524
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Tech	YesResolved	$450	80¢	0.0¢	-$450
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$6	3.6¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$12	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Tech	YesResolved	$27	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$27
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$110	11¢	0.0¢	-$110
Grokipedia released by November 7?Tech	NoResolved	$0	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$0
Grokipedia released by October 31?Tech	NoResolved	$33	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$33
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Tech	NoResolved	$20	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Tech	YesResolved	$6	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$6
Grok 5 released by December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	18¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$7	2.6¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Tech	YesResolved	$29	4.5¢	0.0¢	-$29
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$20	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$159	67¢	0.0¢	-$159
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Tech	NoResolved	$34	13¢	0.0¢	-$34
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Tech	NoResolved	$3.7K	37¢	0.0¢	-$3.7K
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$5.8K	81¢	0.0¢	-$5.8K
OpenAI social app in 2025?Tech	NoResolved	$1.3K	59¢	0.0¢	-$1.3K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$4.5K

Economy+$3.0K

Mentions+$2.0K

Finance+$465

Boxing+$429

Politics-$234

Crypto+$175

NFL-$147

Other sports+$100

Culture-$79

Tennis+$11

Weather+$2

Biggest hit

+$5.3K

Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

Toughest beat

-$4.6K

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Recent moves

Cashed out Yes · Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$2122mo ago
Sold No · Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$14mo ago
Sold No · Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$34mo ago
Sold No · Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$464mo ago
Sold No · Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$175mo ago
Sold No · Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$145mo ago
Cashed out No · Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?$45mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$65mo ago
Cashed out No · Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$2955mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$3145mo ago
Cashed out Yes · GPT-5.4 released by March 9?$9775mo ago
Cashed out Yes · GPT-5.4 released by March 5?$3.1K5mo ago