← Whale Watch

alpaca

Predicting since Nov 2022164 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.9K on Crypto markets since Nov 2022.

Right now: $1.5K riding on Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$1.2K on Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$1.5K28¢25¢-$167
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$61257¢57¢+$4
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsNo$71718¢9.5¢-$328
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?PoliticsNo$20049¢51¢+$7
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$20050¢50¢-$2
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$20012¢12¢-$5
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?PoliticsYes$10019¢20¢+$6
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?PoliticsYes$10010¢10¢-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$5030¢28¢-$3
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$204.9¢4.7¢-$1
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?PoliticsYes$204.6¢1.5¢-$14
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?PoliticsYes$202.3¢0.7¢-$14
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?PoliticsYes$50.5¢0.4¢-$1
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?PoliticsYes$121.6¢0.5¢-$8
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?PoliticsYes$50.8¢0.4¢-$2
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$5053¢0.0¢-$50
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$152.8¢0.0¢-$15
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$10052¢0.0¢-$100
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$109.0¢0.0¢-$10
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$10057¢0.0¢-$100
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$109.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?PoliticsYesResolved$304.4¢0.0¢-$30
Caroline Ellison new boyfriend by January 31?CryptoYesResolved$402.9¢0.0¢-$40
Will the US strike another country first?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$23011¢0.0¢-$230
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$20016¢0.0¢-$200
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupNoResolved$10056¢0.0¢-$100
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$4034¢0.0¢-$40
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?PoliticsYesResolved$151.5¢0.0¢-$15
Ukraine election called in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$103.2¢0.0¢-$10
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$209.8¢0.0¢-$20
Will the US strike Cuba next?PoliticsYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?PoliticsNoResolved$4018¢0.0¢-$40
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$1512¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$2415.6¢0.0¢-$241
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWorld CupUnited StatesResolved$15053¢0.0¢-$150
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2548¢0.0¢-$25
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?PoliticsYesResolved$255.0¢0.0¢-$25
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?World CupYesResolved$3034¢0.0¢-$30
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$10052¢0.0¢-$100
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?PoliticsYesResolved$609.9¢0.0¢-$60
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$18533¢0.0¢-$185
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$10045¢0.0¢-$100
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$10060¢0.0¢-$100
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$2023¢0.0¢-$20
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? CryptoNoResolved$5013¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1AM ETCryptoUpResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceWorld CupNorwayResolved$10032¢0.0¢-$100
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$103.3¢0.0¢-$10
Thailand x Cambodia declare war by Dec 31?PoliticsYesResolved$53.8¢0.0¢-$5
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$5038¢0.0¢-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$17039¢0.0¢-$170
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$10013¢0.0¢-$100
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?World CupYesResolved$2013¢0.0¢-$20
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$54.3¢0.0¢-$5
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$10054¢0.0¢-$100
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$1010¢0.0¢-$10
France vs. England: O/U 3.5World CupUnderResolved$10056¢0.0¢-$100
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$8347¢0.0¢-$83
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$53.2¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$248¢0.0¢-$2
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$105.0¢0.0¢-$10
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$4010.0¢0.0¢-$40
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? PoliticsYesResolved$12310¢0.0¢-$123
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$10042¢0.0¢-$100

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$2.9K
Politics-$2.5K
eSports-$1.3K
Boxing-$500
World Cup-$368
Other-$156
Finance-$100
Tech-$70
Mentions-$15
Biggest hit
+$1.2K
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Toughest beat
-$1000
Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$19410m ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$20011m ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1914h ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$504h ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$22717h ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$20017h ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$2017h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?$10017h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$20017h ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?$20017h ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?$10017h ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$1691d ago