fcraen

Predicting since Dec 2024133 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Politics	Yes	$15	66¢	51¢	-$4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$10	29¢	20¢	-$3
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO in 2025?Economy	YesResolved	$3	17¢	0.0¢	-$3
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Politics	YesResolved	$1	80¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$15	38¢	0.0¢	-$15
Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$1	16¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Weather	YesResolved	$6	19¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics	NoResolved	$5	82¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics	YesResolved	$10	46¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Weather	YesResolved	$5	35¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$20	24¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Politics	YesResolved	$1	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$10	45¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?Politics	YesResolved	$1	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$10	19¢	0.0¢	-$10
UCF Knights vs. UCLA BruinsCollege Hoops	UCF KnightsResolved	$1	33¢	0.0¢	-$1
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$30	20¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Politics	YesResolved	$15	62¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy	YesResolved	$5	43¢	0.0¢	-$5
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$2	38¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy	NoResolved	$4	68¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Tech	YesResolved	$1	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$15	13¢	0.0¢	-$15
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$30	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Politics	NoResolved	$10	62¢	0.0¢	-$10
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on March 4?Finance	DownResolved	$8	54¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Politics	YesResolved	$3	18¢	0.0¢	-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$93

Weather+$64

Crypto+$54

Finance+$35

Culture-$28

Tech-$17

Economy-$10

Mentions-$10

Formula 1+$2

Premier League+$1

College Hoops-$1

Other sports+$0

Biggest hit

+$71

Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?

Toughest beat

-$41

Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 27-Jan 3?

Recent moves

Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$101mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$121mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$391mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$361mo ago
Bought Yes · Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$92mo ago
Bought Yes · Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$312mo ago
Bought Yes · Starmer out by May 19, 2026?$312mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$202mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$212mo ago
Sold Yes · US forces enter Iran by April 30?$373mo ago
Bought Yes · US forces enter Iran by April 30?$204mo ago
Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$104mo ago