Silverhard

Predicting since May 202532 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Elon tweet 650 or more times August 15–August 22?Politics	YesResolved	$10	3.5¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Elon tweet 495–509 times August 1–August 8?Politics	YesResolved	$5	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 25–August 1?Politics	YesResolved	$5	1.3¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?Politics	YesResolved	$8	20¢	0.0¢	-$8
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$8	3.3¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?Culture	NoResolved	$10	92¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?Politics	YesResolved	$5	4.3¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Elon tweet 510 or more times August 1–August 8?Politics	YesResolved	$5	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times August 22–August 29?Culture	YesResolved	$5	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?Politics	YesResolved	$10	12¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 11–18?Politics	YesResolved	$6	5.4¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times August 1–August 8?Politics	YesResolved	$5	1.7¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 11–18?Politics	YesResolved	$7	2.4¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?Politics	YesResolved	$10	25¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 18–25?Politics	YesResolved	$8	9.8¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?Crypto	NoResolved	$5	36¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?Politics	YesResolved	$8	19¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 1–August 8?Politics	YesResolved	$5	6.6¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 11–18?Politics	YesResolved	$8	22¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?Crypto	YesResolved	$5	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?Politics	YesResolved	$3	4.2¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times August 15–August 22?Politics	YesResolved	$20	11¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times August 1–August 8?Politics	YesResolved	$5	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$7	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times August 1–August 8?Politics	YesResolved	$5	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$100

Crypto-$10

Culture-$2

Biggest hit

+$24

Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?

Toughest beat

-$4

Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 25–August 1?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$710mo ago
Bought Yes · No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$810mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$910mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1010mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$210mo ago
Bought No · Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?$1011mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon tweet less than 150 times August 22–August 29?$511mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 22–August 29?$2311mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 22–August 29?$1011mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon tweet 300–324 times August 15–August 22?$1011mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon tweet 300–324 times August 15–August 22?$1011mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon tweet 650 or more times August 15–August 22?$1011mo ago