← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Mar 2026372 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.5K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $2.5K riding on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$1.3K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.5K85¢80¢-$163
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$86091¢92¢+$9
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$40285¢88¢+$16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$37384¢86¢+$8
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$34068¢68¢-$2
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$30676¢80¢+$12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$29687¢88¢+$1
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$28495¢99¢+$12
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$17487¢84¢-$7
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$11948¢58¢+$25
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$14271¢68¢-$7
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$260.3¢1.1¢+$74
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$6565¢63¢-$3
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$4181¢95¢+$7
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$732.7¢1.3¢-$39
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$60.6¢2.8¢+$20
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31PoliticsNo$1860¢69¢+$3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?PoliticsYes$2727¢19¢-$8
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsYes$21035¢0.8¢-$205
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7224¢0.9¢-$69
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$25840¢0.4¢-$255
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBAYes$71432¢0.1¢-$713
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
FDA approves Vepdegestrant?TechNoResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?PoliticsYesResolved$371.2¢0.0¢-$37
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$30.1¢0.0¢-$3
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?WeatherYesResolved$191.3¢0.0¢-$19
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?PoliticsYesResolved$21.9¢0.0¢-$2
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?World CupYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$39819¢0.0¢-$398
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$82.6¢0.0¢-$8
Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?CultureYesResolved$021¢0.0¢-$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$554.6¢0.0¢-$55
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?PoliticsYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$04.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?PoliticsYesResolved$7321¢0.0¢-$73
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?PoliticsYesResolved$32729¢0.0¢-$327
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?CultureYesResolved$21.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$99.1¢0.0¢-$9
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$704.7¢0.0¢-$70
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$387.5¢0.0¢-$38
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?PoliticsNoResolved$13969¢0.0¢-$139
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?PoliticsYesResolved$50.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$30576¢0.0¢-$305
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?PoliticsYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$92.5¢0.0¢-$9
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$103.3¢0.0¢-$10
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$94.3¢0.0¢-$9
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$4623¢0.0¢-$46
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?EconomyYesResolved$7586¢0.0¢-$75
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$140.9¢0.0¢-$14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1051.4¢0.0¢-$105
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$86.6¢0.0¢-$8
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$454.5¢0.0¢-$45
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?PoliticsNoResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1333.7¢0.0¢-$133

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.5K
NBA-$672
Crypto+$478
Culture-$104
Economy-$69
World Cup+$41
eSports+$36
Mentions-$22
Weather-$16
Tech+$2
Biggest hit
+$1.3K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$2.1K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$813h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$134h ago
  • Sold No · Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?$8022h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$131d ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$1421d ago
  • Bought No · US strike on Cuba by December 31?$681d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$01d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$921d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$191d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$141d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$201d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$261d ago